Preview: BOJ March Quarter Tankan to Show Business Sentiment Slightly Down or Flat amid Uncertainty over Trump Tariffs, Elevated Consumer Inflation
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – The Bank of Japan’s quarterly Tankan business survey is forecast to show confidence among manufacturers slipped in the March quarter in the face of stiff tariffs on U.S. imports of metals and vehicles as well as President Trump’s plans to slap “reciprocal tariffs” on imports from global trading partners. China’s […]
StL Fed’s Musalem: Must Lean Against Inflation If Expectations Become Unanchored
– May Have To Leave Rates Unchanged Longer Or Hike Rates If Inflation Worsens By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Although downside risks to the labor market have increased, so have upside risks to inflation and inflation expectations, and such a combination could create a difficult monetary policy dilemma, St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President […]
FOMC Holds Funds Rate Steady, Participants Project 50bp of 2025 Rate Cuts
– Powell: ‘Not in Any Hurry to Move,’ ‘Well Positioned to Wait For Clarity’ – SEP Retains December Dots While Forecasting More Inflation, Less GDP Growth – Powell: Slower Pace of Balance Sheet Run-Off Has No Monetary Policy Import By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Faced with softer economic activity and uncertainty about the outlook […]
FOMC: Standstill Policy Statement Accompanied by Dot Plot Assumptions Still for Two Rate Cuts This Year
WASHINGTON (MaceNews): The Federal Ope Market Committee Wednesday provided no surprises in its latest policy statement and the dot plot of participants still saw two rate cuts this year. The text of the statement follows: Recent indicators suggest that economic activity has continued to expand at a solid pace. The unemployment rate has stabilized at […]
Japan’s Government Keeps Economic Recovery Scenario, Warns of Downside Risks Arising from High Costs of Living, Trump Tariffs
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s government maintained its cautiously optimistic assessment for the seventh straight month, saying the economy is expected to stay on a “modest recovery” track, but also warned about downside risks arising from high costs of living hurting consumption and the trade war launched by the Trump administration. In its monthly […]
BofA Global Research Fund Manager Survey: Global Investor Sentiment Plunges as Macro Pessimism Surges
–US Equity Allocation Sees Biggest Monthly Drop on Record By Vicki Schmelzer NEW YORK (MaceNews) – A drop in expectations that the U.S. economy will outperform and rising worries about the global economy prompted a “bull crash” in global investor sentiment in March, according to BofA Global Research’s monthly fund manager survey, released Tuesday. When […]
Canada’s New PM Carney to Seek New Export Markets, ‘Mutual Solution’ to Trade War with US by Bringing in ‘Smaller, Focused’ Cabinet
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Canada’s new Prime Minister Mark Carney, who was sworn in Friday, vowed to protect his country from the threat of a global trade war initiated by his U.S. counterpart by exploring for new export markets and seeking a solution that would make both Ottawa and Washington happy. “Canada’s new government […]
TARIFFS STATE OF PLAY: Trump Tariffs Go Global – A Small Start Compared to What’s Coming
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The new worldwide 25% U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum Wednesday – with no exemptions – piled atop the now 20% levied on China goods, 22 days away from the start of the nation’s far bigger experiment in confrontational trade policy, “reciprocal tariffs.” As expected, retaliatory tariffs also began to accumulate, first […]
Bank of Canada Continues to Provide Measured Rate Relief Amid High Uncertainty over Growth, Inflation Triggered by Trade War
–BOC Trims Policy Rate By 25 Basis Points To 2.75% in 7th Straight Rate Cut as Widely Expected–Governor Macklem: Governing Council Will Proceed ‘Carefully’ with Any Further Changes to Policy Rate–Macklem: Council Didn’t Seriously Consider 50-Basis Point Cut Due to Uncertainty Over When and How Much Trade War Will Boost Prices–BOC Surveys: Threats of New […]
Preview: Bank of Canada Set to Lower Policy Rate Further to 2.75% Today; More Cuts Expected amid High Uncertainty Created by Trump Tariffs
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – The Bank of Canada on Wednesday is widely expected to trim its policy interest rate – the target for overnight lending rates – by another 25 basis points to 2.75% from 3.0%, conducting its seventh straight rate cut, first to ease the pain of high borrowing costs caused by its […]