St Louis Fed’s Musalem Warns of Upside Risks to Inflation, Inflation Expectations
– FOMC Voter Says Policy Must Stay Restrictive Until Sure Inflation Headed To 2% By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President Alberto Musalem said Thursday that the risk of inflation worsening is greater than the risk of labor markets deteriorating, as he advocated a continued “restrictive” monetary policy stance. Musalem, […]
Japan’s Government Keeps Economic Recovery Scenario Despite Headwinds of High Costs of Living, Trump Tariffs, Sluggish China Pickup
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s government maintained its cautiously optimistic assessment for the sixth straight month, saying the economy is expected to stay on a “modest recovery” track, overcoming the lingering headwinds of high domestic costs of living, the risk of a global trade war initiated by the Trump administration and wobbly Chinese growth. […]
BofA Global Research Fund Manager Survey: Investors Embrace Upbeat World Growth Outlook
–Cash Levels Lowest Since 2010 By Vicki Schmelzer NEW YORK (MaceNews) – Global investors embraced an upbeat world growth outlook in February, as evidenced by the lowest cash level holdings since 2010, according to BofA Global Research’s monthly fund manager survey, released Tuesday. Eighty-two percent of those polled this month said a global recession was […]
Fed Officials Continue to See No Need to Cut Interest Rates Again for A While
–Updates with comments from Fed Gov. Waller By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – The Federal Reserve should be in no rush to resume interest rate reductions as it focuses on lowering inflation, so long as the labor market remains “solid,” Fed officials concurred Monday. As they have done since the the Fed’s rate-setting Federal Open […]
Fed’s Powell: Still ‘In No Hurry’ To Resume Cutting Short-Term Interest Rates
– FOMC Might Ease Earlier If Saw ‘Unexpected Weakness’ in Labor Market – Thinks ‘Neutral’ Federal Funds Rate Has Risen – Gives No Indication Fed Ready to Halt QT – Dodges Questions About Tariff Impact on Economy, Monetary Policy By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – With inflation still running too hot in an economy growing […]
Fed Officials Keep Door Open to Resumption of Easing, But Patient For Now
– Daly, Goolsbee, Collins, Bostic, Bowman All in Cautious ‘Wait and See’ Mode By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Federal Reserve officials have been united in supporting the Federal Open Market Committee’s decision to leave interest rates unchanged when the Fed’s rate-setting body met last Wednesday, but their seeming unanimity tends to fade into uncertainty […]
TARIFFS STATE OF PLAY: CHINA Tightens Restrictions on Rare Earth Exports to USA Among Tariff Retaliations
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – In what analysts have said is a measured response, intended not to further escalate U.S.-China trade tensions, China nevertheless Tuesday has imposed some significant new penalties. Chief among them are export controls on several rare-earth minerals important to the U.S. manufacture of high-tech products. They include indium, bismuth, molybdenum, tellurium and tungsten. […]
US ISM Manufacturing Back in Growth at Start of 2025, Waking Up from More Than 2 Years of Doldrums on Cyclical Pickup in New Orders, Output, Jobs
–ISM Manufacturing Index at 50.9 Vs. 49.2 in December, Again Well Above Consensus (49.5)–ISM’s Fiore: Upward Help from Seasonal Adjustments in January 2025 Half of Those in January 2024–Fiore: Trump Tariffs Won’t Help US Firms; Doesn’t Make Sense to Pay Duties on Own Goods Made in Canada, Mexico–Fiore: Demand for US Manufacturers Sees Cyclical Rebound […]
Preview: Japan’s Goldilocks Economy to Post Modest 0.3% Q/Q GDP Growth in Q4 as Consumers Stay Frugal amid High Costs, Exports Sluggish in Face of Struggling China, Slowing US
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s gross domestic product for the October-December quarter is forecast to post its third consecutive growth but a sluggish 0.3% rise on quarter, or an annualized 1.3%. The main growth driver came from a rebound in net exports that was caused by a fall in imports and masks weak exports […]
FOMC Pauses Rate Cuts Amid Uncertainty About Economic, Policy Outlook
– Powell: FOMC ‘In No Hurry’ To Adjust Rates; Policy, Economy ‘In Good Place’ – Powell: Need to See ‘Further Progress’ On Inflation; Watching Labor Market By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – After cutting interest rates at three consecutive meetings, the Federal Reserve’s policymaking Federal Open Market Committee kept them unchanged Wednesday and gave no […]