DATA FLASH: US INITIAL CLAIMS SLIP, BUT STUBBORNLY ABOVE 1 MILLION

—Initial Claims -99,000 to 1.314 Mln; Pace of Decline Continues to Flatten–-Wholesale Inventories -1.2% in May, Business Inventories Tracking -2.3% By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The pace of initial claims gains continues to astound, with COVID-19 cases surging in several states that are causing some restrictions to be put back into place. Initial filings fell […]

FED’S DALY/BARKIN SEE HUGE PANDEMIC-CAUSED ECONOMIC CHALLENGES STILL TO COME

By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The presidents of the Richmond and San Francisco Federal Reserve Banks Tuesday saw huge challenges ahead as government virus response programs ebb, landlords without rent payments pressure banks, displaced workers stay unemployed  and customers get less enthusiastic about visits to bricks and mortar establishments as the pandemic hangs on. […]

FED’S BOSTIC: HIGH-FREQUENCY DATA SHOW LEVELING OFF IN ECONOMY

NEW YORK (MaceNews)- Recent high-frequency economic data suggestthe recovery is slowing as virus infections rise, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said Tuesday. Bostic, in webinar remarks to the Tennessee Business Roundtable, said the economy is rebounding from its depths in the first part of the second quarter but “more recent economic data show the upward […]

BANK OF CANADA: BUSINESS, CONSUMER SENTIMENT PLUNGE ON COVID, OIL PRICE FALL

NEW YORK (MaceNews) – Canadian business and consumer sentiment dropped in response to the Covid-19 pandemic and the drop oil prices, the Bank of Canada reported Monday. The bank’s quarterly survey of businesses, conducted from mid-May to early-June, as government restrictions were starting to ease, found businesses in all regions and sectors “reported that weak […]

DATA PREVIEW: SERVICES SECTOR CONDITIONS HEADLINE LIGHT DATA WEEK AHEAD

By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – After a very busy data week that finished off with a 4.80 million June payrolls gain and a decline in the unemployment rate to 11.1%, analysts and the markets can look forward to a three-day weekend and a very light data week ahead. Monday’s nonmanufacturing data for June starts […]

DATA FLASH: US JUNE PAYROLLS RISE BY 4.80 MLN, UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 11.1%

–Food Services, Retail Again Lead Gain; Hourly Earnings Down 1.2%–Initial Jobless Claims Fell by 55,000 to 1.427 Mln, Continuing Claims Rise–International Trade Gap Widened to $54.6 Billion By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The June employment report showed further, though measured, improvement, reflecting continued state reopenings. The sharp April payrolls decline the Labor Department reported […]

TEXT: STAFF BRIEFS FOMC RE YIELD CURVE CAPS, FORWARD GUIDANCE, ASSET PURCH

— Simulations Suggest Highly Accommodative Conditions ‘For Many Years’ WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The Federal Open Market Committee most recent meeting saw participants discuss all the pandemic-related effects and probabilities already covered in Fed speeches and comments since. However the FOMC minutes released Wednesday also had a unique disclosure, the staff briefing for participants on yield […]

DATA FLASH: US MANUFACTURING MOVES BACK TO POSITIVE IN JUNE

–May Construction Spending Falls Sharply–June ADP Points to Further Job Recovery; Challenger Shows Layoffs Continue By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The June ISM index showed U.S. manufacturing sector activity improved further, in line with the regional and Markit data. Survey respondents in the ISM report noted a rebound in demand has kept factories busy. […]

EUROZONE ECONOMIC SENTIMENT ROSE BY RECORD AMOUNT IN JUNE

ZURICH (MaceNews) – Economic sentiment in the countries sharing the euro increased by a record amount in June, extending the turnaround which started in May, with employment expectations also increasing, the European Commission reported Monday. Economic sentiment improved to 75.7 in the euro area, rising 8.2 points, which is the largest monthly increase on record, […]

DATA PREVIEW: WILL EMPLOYMENT REPORT PROVIDE EARLY FIREWORKS?

By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – Before the Fourth of July holiday, there are plenty of opportunities for the June U.S. data to create further buzz after a partial recovery in May. The employment report released Thursday – early because of the pending holiday – is undoubtedly the highlight of the week ahead of Friday’s […]