DATA FLASH: US MAY PERSONAL INCOME SLOWS, SPENDING SOARS

–US May Personal Income -4.2% After Stimulus-Led Surge in April–Savings Rate 23.2%, Nominal PCE +8.2%, Real PCE +8.1%, Core +0.1%–June Michigan Sentiment Revised Down to 78.1, Still Up From 72.3 in May By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – Personal income fell in May after a large runup in April on government stimulus payments, while spending […]

DATA FLASH: US INITIAL CLAIMS SLOW; DURABLE GOODS ORDERS SURGE

–Initial Claims -60,000 to 1.480 Mln; Pace of Decline Continues To Flatten–May Durable Goods New Orders Jump 15.8%; Shipments Up 4.4%–Q1 GDP, Real PCE Both Unrevised As Analysts Focus On Massive Q2 Decline––May Adv Trade Gap -$74.3 Bln, Wholesale Inventories -1.2%; Retail -6.1% By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The massive amount of data released simultaneously […]

GERMAN CONSUMER CONFIDENCE IMPROVES AS ECONOMY REOPENS: GFK

ZURICH (MaceNews) – German consumers appear more optimistic as economic stimulus and the opening of the economy are boosting expectations, Germany’s Gfk Institute  reported Thursday. GfK  projects that its measure of consumer confidence will be -9.6 in July, an improvement from  a revised -18.6 (-18.9) in June, rising for a second consecutive month. However, GfK […]

GERMAN BUSINESS SENTIMENT JUMPS BY RECORD AMOUNT IN JUNE

By Marco Babic ZURICH (MaceNews) – Business sentiment in Germany improved by a record amount in June, with current conditions and the expectations components rising in tandem, Ifo Institute reported Wednesday. The IFO Institute business sentiment index rose by a record amount to 86.2 in June from a revised reading of 79.7 (79.5) in May.  […]

BANK OF ENGLAND’S BAILEY SEES HIGHER STRUCTURAL UNEMPLOYMENT POST-COVID

By Laurie Laird LONDON (MaceNews) – The Bank of England warned of lingering consumer caution and a rise in structural unemployment in the wake of the Covid crisis, even as recent economic data suggest that the UK economy has been less badly hit than feared.  “I do wonder whether a shock if this size will […]

DATA FLASH: MAY EXISTING HOME SALES LIKELY HIT BOTTOM

By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – Existing home sales fell for the third straight month in May, but the current month’s data reflects contract signings in March and April at the worst points of the shutdown. It is expected that this may be the bottom for home resales. National Association of Realtors Chief Economist Lawrence […]

BANK OF CANADA’S MACKLEM: NOT CONSIDERING NEGATIVE INTEREST RATES; OUTLOOK UNCERTAIN

NEW YORK (MaceNews) -The Bank of Canada is not considering negative interest rates and now sees its asset purchase program having a stimulative effect, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem said Monday. Macklem, in remarks prepared for delivery during an online event, said the bank expects quick job gains as the economy reopens, but growth […]

WHITE HOUSE WATCH COMMENTARY: THE HAZARDS/OPPORTUNITIES OF RISING EXPECTATIONS

By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – This Juneteenth, things have really changed, with pollsters saying never before has U.S. public opinion changed so dramatically and so fast as in the 26 days since the gruesome killing of George Floyd. If only history showed that such turning points were typically the beginning of more easily achieved […]

DATA PREVIEW: AFTER PARTIAL RECOVERY IN MAY, FOCUS TURNS TO JUNE

By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – After solid improvement in the May U.S. data released over the last two weeks, the focus in the coming week turns to the early-June regional conditions data. June readings from the New York Fed and Philadelphia Fed released this previous week indicated continued improvement, with the Philadelphia Fed’s reading […]

OPEC-PLUS WATCHDOG URGES GREATER COMPLIANCE WITH AGREED PRODUCTION CUTS

By Brai Odion-Esene, SW4 Insights for Mace News WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – Complete adherence to the recent accord on oil production limits is paramount to rebalancing oil market fundamentals and ensuring stability in the industry, the OPEC-plus watchdog group warned Thursday. The Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) is co-chaired by Russia and Saudi Arabia’s energy ministers, […]