SIFMA SURVEY: ’20 GDP -5.5%; ’21 +4.7%; NO NEGATIVE RATES
NEW YORK (MaceNews) – A survey of 26 chief economists of global and regional financial institutions Tuesday saw U.S. fourth quarter to fourth quarter GDP falling 5.5% this year and rebounding strongly next year with a 4.7% gain. The survey, taken through May 28, also found no expectation for the Federal Reserve to purposely employ […]
DATA FLASH: US MANUFACTURING CONTRACTION SLOWED IN MAY
-April Construction Spending Declined, As Suggested by Housing Data By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The May ISM index Monday showed U.S. manufacturing sector activity contracted further, but at a slower pace, in line with the regional and Markit data. Survey respondents in the ISM report noted while COVID-19 continues to weigh heavily on business […]
DATA PREVIEW: AFTER A 20M JOBS DROP, WHAT’S NEXT?
By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The U.S. April data were, in a word, horrible. There was no silver lining, except that it was, hopefully, the worst we will see and that some relative recovery began over last few weeks. The May business conditions data already released continued their downward trend, but the pace of […]
DATA FLASH: APRIL INCOME LIFTED BY STIMULUS, BUT NO PLACE TO SPEND
–US April Personal Income +10.5%, Transfer Payments +89.6% on Stimulus–Savings Rate 33.0%, Nominal PCE -13.6%, Real PCE -13.2%, Core Prices -0.4%–May Chicago PMI Falls to 32.3 from 35.4 in April–May Michigan Sentiment Index Revised Down to 72.3 After 71.8 in April By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – Personal income surged in April on the large […]
DATA FLASH: US INITIAL CLAIMS SLOW FURTHER; DURABLE GOODS ORDERS PLUNGE
–Initial Claims – 323,000 to 2.123 Mln; 37.2 Mln Total Under COVID–Durable Goods New Orders -17.2%; Shipments -17.7%–Q1 GDP Revised Down To -5.0% Vs -4.8%, PCE -6.8% By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The U.S. data released earlier Thursday offered few surprises, with the level of initial claims continuing to slide, durable goods orders down […]
BANK OF ENGLAND’S SAUNDERS CALLS FOR MPC TO COMMIT TO FURTHER ASSET PURCHASES
External MPC Member Refuses to Be Drawn on Negative Interest Rates By Laurie Laird LONDON (MaceNews) – A Bank of England rate setter has urged the Monetary Policy Committee to commit to further asset purchases at its upcoming meeting, but refused to be drawn on the possibility of negative interest rates in the UK. Addressing […]
EXPECTATIONS LIFT EURO AREA ECONOMIC SENTIMENT IN MAY, EUROSTAT REPORTS
By Marco Babic ZURICH (MaceNews) – Economic sentiment for the countries sharing the euro improved slightly in May, recovering from historic lows the month before, as industry and consumer sentiment increased while the outlook in the services industry continued to decline, according to data released Thursday by Eurostat. The Economic Sentiment Index rose to 67.5 […]
BOE’S BAILEY HINTS THAT EXPANDED QE WILL PRECEDE ANY RATE CUT
By Laurie Laird LONDON (MaceNews) – Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey Wednesday suggested that the UK central bank is likely to expand its quantitative easing program before embarking on any move to nudge interest rates into negative territory. “We have signaled that we stand ready to do more within the framework of policies we […]
FED’S BEIGE BK: SEVERE DISRUPTIONS CONTINUE; NO QUICK RECOVERY SEEN
–Some Recent Improvement in Autos –Not Seeing Full Hirebacks WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The Federal Reserve’s latest Beige Book survey of economic activity across the country Wednesday chronicled the continuing – and in some regions, deepening – severe disruption caused by the pandemic with some Districts finding low expectations for a quick rebound and complete rehirings. […]
DATA FLASH: US MAY CONFIDENCE STOPS SLIDE; NEW HOMES UP
–Dallas Manufacturing Reading in Line with Other Regional Data By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The Conference Board’s U.S. consumer confidence index rose slightly to a reading of 86.6 in May from a downward revised 85.7 reading in April, stopping the slide at two months but leaving the index well below the recent peak in […]