WHITE HOUSE WATCH COMMENTARY: STRUCTURAL CHANGE NOT ALWAYS INTENTIONAL

By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – Huge disruptions, pandemics and wars, can cause fundamental changes down the line that were not anticipated and which were hard to recognize at the time. Which brings us to the Federal Reserve in this time of crisis. Wednesday afternoon Chairman Jerome Powell will be explaining to the world the […]

DATA FLASH: US APRIL CONFIDENCE FELL FURTHER, BUT EXPECTATIONS IMPROVE

By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The Conference Board’s U.S. consumer confidence index Tuesday fell to a reading of 86.9 in April from a downward revised 118.8 reading in March, as business and employment conditions deteriorated rapidly due to the COVID-19 shutdown. And while the assessment of current conditions posted their largest one-month decline in […]

BUSINESS ECONOMISTS GRAPPLE WITH OUTLOOK, TRY TO CATCH UP WITH DETERIORATION

WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The National Association for Business Economics Monday published its latest survey of business conditions and 107 of its members concluded that the outlook has been clouded so much by the pandemic that there are few definitive conclusions at this early stage. The NABE’s averaged survey results showed a severe economic dislocation yet […]

WHITE HOUSE WATCH COMMENTARY: JUNGLE DRUMS IN THE DISTANCE SOUND LIKE TROUBLE

By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – You can feel the rumble of distant war drums even before you can hear them, in the nation’s capital of all places, as the Trump administration faces a renewed wave of criticism – just as it might, finally, be least deserved. “Might” could be a leap, because there is […]

WHITE HOUSE WATCH COMMENTARY: SOMETHING OFF KILTER IN A SHAKY WEEK

By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) –  There were moments in the week just past when everything made sense, virus deaths were leveling in many areas including the New York City metro, the government’s efforts to massively ramp up the acquisition and production of medical gear were on track and the markets were moderately positive. The […]

FULL COVID SHUTDOWN IMPACT WILL BE ON DISPLAY IN NEXT WEEK’S US DATA

By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – After a week that showcased weakness in the U.S. housing market, analysts and financial market participants should prepare themselves for even more disappointing data next week. The mid-week FOMC meeting gives the Committee an opportunity to offer more consoling words, but any new actions would be even more appreciated. […]

WHITE HOUSE WATCH COMMENTARY: TIME A FLUID CONCEPT IN WORLD OF VIRUS

By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The corona virus particle is identical around the world as is the basic physiology of the human organism it has evolved to use as a host and yet the reaction to its arrival and spread are so different and along timelines that can vary by months. Australia announced Thursday […]

DATA FLASH: US INITIAL CLAIMS KEEP PILING UP; NEW HOME SALES PLUNGE

–Initial Claims Level Fall by 810,000/4.427 Mln–Continuing Claims Still Have More Room to Rise–New Home Sales -15.4%/627,000; Social Distancing To Cut Deeper in April–Markit Data Show Factory, Services Conditions Deteriorated Further By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The growth rate of initial claims slowed modestly in the April 18 employment survey week but remain elevated, […]

WHITE HOUSE WATCH COMMENTARY: ROGUE GOV CHALLENGES WHT HSE, CHAPTER TWO

By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – In this episode the carefully wrought White House guidelines for how to bring the U.S. economy back to life in the midst of a pandemic are still challenged by a rogue governor, but all is not the same as in the Tuesday night installment. To recap, the question posed […]