Fed’s Powell: Economy, Labor Market ‘Still Solid’ But Outlook ‘Highly Uncertain’
– Tariffs May Boost Both Inflation, Unemployment; Give Fed ‘Difficult’ Choices – FOMC May Have to Make ‘Difficult Judgment’ in Balancing Inflation, Job Goals – Fed Chief Refrains from Saying FOMC Is In ‘No Hurry’ By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Wednesday the economy and labor market remain “solid” […]
BofA Global Research Fund Manager Survey: Trade War Jitters Sends Global Growth Expectations To Record Low
— Global Recession Largest ‘Tail Risk’ in 15-year Survey History By Vicki Schmelzer NEW YORK (MaceNews) –Trade war jitters sent global growth expectations to a record low in April, according to BofA Global Research’s monthly fund manager survey, released Wednesday. At the same time, “trade war triggering a global recession” was viewed as the biggest […]
Fed Officials Keeping Monetary Policy Sidelined in Face of Tariff War
– Barkin: Economy ‘In Very Dense Fog’; Fed Must Handle With ‘Judgment’ – Kashkari: Bar for Rate Cuts Has Risen Due to Inflation Concerns – Musalem: Bar for Cutting Rates Higher As Both Inflation, Recession Risks Up – Daly: Fed Must ‘Tread Slowly and Tread Carefully” By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Federal Reserve officials […]
Fed’s Powell: FOMC Must Wait For Greater ‘Clarity’ Before Changing Policy
– Uncertainty High Amid Trump Policy Changes, But Economy Still ‘In A Good Place’ – Fed Doesn’t Need To Be ‘In A Hurry’ to Lower Rates By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Friday the Fed has to wait for more “clarity” on the economic effects of the Trump administration’s […]
Preview: BOJ March Quarter Tankan to Show Business Sentiment Slightly Down or Flat amid Uncertainty over Trump Tariffs, Elevated Consumer Inflation
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – The Bank of Japan’s quarterly Tankan business survey is forecast to show confidence among manufacturers slipped in the March quarter in the face of stiff tariffs on U.S. imports of metals and vehicles as well as President Trump’s plans to slap “reciprocal tariffs” on imports from global trading partners. China’s […]
StL Fed’s Musalem: Must Lean Against Inflation If Expectations Become Unanchored
– May Have To Leave Rates Unchanged Longer Or Hike Rates If Inflation Worsens By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Although downside risks to the labor market have increased, so have upside risks to inflation and inflation expectations, and such a combination could create a difficult monetary policy dilemma, St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President […]
FOMC Holds Funds Rate Steady, Participants Project 50bp of 2025 Rate Cuts
– Powell: ‘Not in Any Hurry to Move,’ ‘Well Positioned to Wait For Clarity’ – SEP Retains December Dots While Forecasting More Inflation, Less GDP Growth – Powell: Slower Pace of Balance Sheet Run-Off Has No Monetary Policy Import By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Faced with softer economic activity and uncertainty about the outlook […]
FOMC: Standstill Policy Statement Accompanied by Dot Plot Assumptions Still for Two Rate Cuts This Year
WASHINGTON (MaceNews): The Federal Ope Market Committee Wednesday provided no surprises in its latest policy statement and the dot plot of participants still saw two rate cuts this year. The text of the statement follows: Recent indicators suggest that economic activity has continued to expand at a solid pace. The unemployment rate has stabilized at […]
BofA Global Research Fund Manager Survey: Global Investor Sentiment Plunges as Macro Pessimism Surges
–US Equity Allocation Sees Biggest Monthly Drop on Record By Vicki Schmelzer NEW YORK (MaceNews) – A drop in expectations that the U.S. economy will outperform and rising worries about the global economy prompted a “bull crash” in global investor sentiment in March, according to BofA Global Research’s monthly fund manager survey, released Tuesday. When […]
Bank of Canada Continues to Provide Measured Rate Relief Amid High Uncertainty over Growth, Inflation Triggered by Trade War
–BOC Trims Policy Rate By 25 Basis Points To 2.75% in 7th Straight Rate Cut as Widely Expected–Governor Macklem: Governing Council Will Proceed ‘Carefully’ with Any Further Changes to Policy Rate–Macklem: Council Didn’t Seriously Consider 50-Basis Point Cut Due to Uncertainty Over When and How Much Trade War Will Boost Prices–BOC Surveys: Threats of New […]