US NABE SURVEY: ECONOMIC IMPROVEMENT SEEN FROM NOW ON
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The National Association for Business Economics Monday published the latest survey of its members, the Business Conditions Survey, showing marked improvements compared to April’s previous survey and expectations of expansion through the second half of next year. The following are excerpts from the survey of 104 members through July 14: “The July […]
STATUS CHECK: NEXT WK, FOMC AND US GDP. MORE NASDAQ WOES?
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The following is Friday’s’ status check of developments in the U.S. that can influence economic, health and political outcomes: The VIX stayed about the same at 25.84 Friday after U.S. stocks were modestly negative for a second day. The DJIA finished -0.68%/-`82.94 and off 0.76% for the week. S&P -0.67%/-20.03 and also […]
DATA PREVIEW: THE COVID BILL COMES DUE WITH Q2 US GDP
By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – All throughout the COVID-19 shutdown, everyone from talking heads to economists to politicians spoke about second quarter GDP in ominous terms – a data point that was way down the road at the time. So now here we are. The advance estimate of second-quarter GDP will be released Thursday […]
STATUS CHECK: TRUMP: ‘WORSE BEFORE IT GETS BETTER;’ GA VIRUS SHOWDOWN DELAYED
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The following is Tuesday’s updated status check of developments in the U.S. that can influence economic, health and political outcomes: With the VIX down 1.6% to maintain moderately elevated 24.84, U.S. stocks had a mixed session Tuesday with a much different composition than Monday’s Nasdaq blowout. In fact the Nasdaq ended in […]
STATUS CHECK: NASDAQ WOWS; TRUMP REPEATS; SHELTON UP
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The following is Monday’s updated status check of developments in the U.S. that can influence economic, health and political outcomes: With the VIX down 4.13% to a calmer 24.60, the Nasdaq set another record in a big way, gaining 2.51% or 263.90 on the back of Tesla (+9.47% to record high), Peloton […]
FED’S BEIGE BK: SOME BOUNCEBACK FROM STILL VERY LOW LEVELS
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The latest Federal Reserve Beige Book survey of economic conditions in all 12 Districts published Wednesday was particularly uninformative this time around, providing little insight beyond generally available information on what’s happening to guide the upcoming meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee. The summary and District-by-District snapshots, assembled by the Chicago […]
DATA FLASH: US JUNE INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION SURGES ON VEHICLES
-Industrial Production Up 5.4%, Motor Vehicle Production Jumps 105%-Manufacturing Production Up 7.2%, Rises 3.9% Excluding Motor Vehicles-Utilities Production Up 4.2%, Mining Production Down 2.9%-Empire State Index Rises to 17.2 in July from -0.2, First Positive Under COVID By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – Industrial production, released by the Federal Reserve Wednesday, rose by 5.4% in […]
FED’S DALY/BARKIN SEE HUGE PANDEMIC-CAUSED ECONOMIC CHALLENGES STILL TO COME
By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The presidents of the Richmond and San Francisco Federal Reserve Banks Tuesday saw huge challenges ahead as government virus response programs ebb, landlords without rent payments pressure banks, displaced workers stay unemployed and customers get less enthusiastic about visits to bricks and mortar establishments as the pandemic hangs on. […]
FED’S BOSTIC: HIGH-FREQUENCY DATA SHOW LEVELING OFF IN ECONOMY
NEW YORK (MaceNews)- Recent high-frequency economic data suggestthe recovery is slowing as virus infections rise, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said Tuesday. Bostic, in webinar remarks to the Tennessee Business Roundtable, said the economy is rebounding from its depths in the first part of the second quarter but “more recent economic data show the upward […]
TEXT: STAFF BRIEFS FOMC RE YIELD CURVE CAPS, FORWARD GUIDANCE, ASSET PURCH
— Simulations Suggest Highly Accommodative Conditions ‘For Many Years’ WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The Federal Open Market Committee most recent meeting saw participants discuss all the pandemic-related effects and probabilities already covered in Fed speeches and comments since. However the FOMC minutes released Wednesday also had a unique disclosure, the staff briefing for participants on yield […]