NY Fed’s Williams Nixes 50 BP March Hike in Federal Funds Rate

– ‘No Compelling Argument’ For Big Move In the Beginning of Firming Process – Affirms Market Expectations of ‘More Normal’ Funds Rate of 2-2.5% by end 2023 – MBS Sales Should Only Be Considered ‘Down The Road’ – ‘Confident’ Fed ‘Can Manage the Soft Landing’ By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – New York Federal Reserve […]

Future of US Inflation Depends on Shelter Costs Flywheel

By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – Last month’s strong rate of increase in consumer prices reported Wednesday was the same, and for some major categories less, than in the previous month, suggesting that mathematical base effects will force indicated inflation to decelerate later this year. Most significantly, shelter costs, that contribute a third of all […]

Cleveland Fed’s Mester: Should Reduce Balance Sheet Soon, Faster Than Last Time

By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Expressing heightened concern about inflation, Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank President Loretta Mester called Wednesday for an early and relatively rapid firming of monetary policy. Mester, a voting member of the Fed’s policy making Federal Open Market Committee this year, said she favors starting to raise the federal funds in […]

KC Fed’s George: FOMC Needs to Move ‘Deliberately’ To Raise Federal Funds Rate

Funds Rate ‘Far Away’ From ‘Normal’ Monetary Policy ‘Out of Sync’ With Economic Outlook By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank President Esther George said Monday that the Fed needs to move “deliberately” to withdraw the unprecedented monetary stimulus adopted to counter the Covid lockdown-induced recession. George, who is voting this […]

<strong><br>FOMC Tees Up March Rate Hike Now That U.S. At ‘Maximum Employment’</strong>

– Powell Sees ‘Substantial’ Balance Sheet Shrinkage After Rate Hikes Begin – Powell Says ‘Couple’ More Discussions Needed on Balance Sheet Reduction Strategy – Powell Implies Rate Hikes May be More Aggressive Given High Inflation, Tight Labor By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – The Federal Reserve took another giant step toward removing some monetary accommodation […]

FOMC Says Expects to ‘Soon Be Appropriate’ to Change Target Rate for Fed Funds

WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The following is the Federal Open Market Committee’s statement Wednesday of its policy stance, accompanied by a reaffirmation of its August 2020 statement that the Fed’s main tool remains changes in the federal funds rate while asset purchases diminish: Indicators of economic activity and employment have continued to strengthen. The sectors most […]

FOMC To Continue Monetary Normalization Talks As Bond Buying Winds Down

By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Going into its first meeting of the year, it might seem as if the Federal Open Market Committee has already scripted its monetary policy for coming months. After all, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and his colleagues on the Fed’s policy making committee have been pretty explicit about their […]

NY Fed’s Williams: ‘Makes Sense’ To Begin To Remove Accommodation

‘Dramatic’ Job Gains, High Inflation Means ‘Approaching’ Liftoff Doesn’t Expect Steep Rate Hikes; Rejects ‘Extreme Scenarios’ Funds Rate Should Go ‘Somewhere Above 2% Down The Road’ Unclear How Long After Liftoff Balance Sheet Shrinkage Will Start Not As Long As Last Time By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – New York Federal Reserve Bank President John […]