Japan Week Ahead: MOF Quarterly Business Survey to Provide Clues to Supply-Side Capex, Inventories in Revised Q2 GDP
–Consumption Appears to Have Made Resilient but Lackluster Start to Q3 By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Here are the key Japanese economic events for the coming week. – Monday, Sept. 1 0850 JST (2350 GMT/1950 EDT Thursday, Aug) The Ministry of Finance releases the Financial Statements Statistics of Corporations by Industry for the April-June quarter […]
Japan Still Sees Gradual Economic Recovery but Warns Some Uncertainty over Trade Deals lingers, Downgrading Its View on Exporter Profits
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s government continues to believe that the domestic economy is expected stay on a “modest recovery” track after top negotiators from Tokyo and Washington have worked out some details of their bilateral trade deal reached last month but also warned that uncertainty over global growth is here to stay for […]
Fed’s Powell in Jackson Hole Hints at Coming Federal Funds Rate Adjustment
– Says FOMC Can Proceed ‘Carefully’ But Cites Greater Job Risks – Announces Significant Shifts in FOMC’s Monetary Policy Framework By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hinted Friday that the Federal Open Market Committee could resume lowering short-term interest rates when the Fed’s rate-setting body meets in mid-September. Powell made […]
Fed Officials Still Divided, Unsure About When and How Much To Cut Interest Rates
By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Federal Reserve officials have continued this week to muse about cutting interest rates for the first time since December when the Fed’s rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee meets in mid- September, but the FOMC remains divided and unsure. Despite an uptick in inflation, labor market worries have come to […]
BofA Global Research Fund Manager Survey: Global Investors Increasingly More Cautious About Growth and Inflation In August
By Vicki Schmelzer NEW YORK (MaceNews) – Global investors were increasingly more cautious in their views about growth and inflation in August, according to BofA Global Research’s monthly fund manager survey, released Monday. A net 41% of those polled this month looked for weaker global growth in the coming 12 months. This compared to a […]
Fed Officials Rethinking ‘Appropriate’ Monetary Policy After Weak July Jobs Data
– Gov. Cook Calls Jobs Report ‘Concerning’ – Could Mark ‘A Turning Point’ – Cook Also Sees ‘Quite Elevated’ Stocks as Potential Threat to Financial Stability – Daly Fears ‘Softening’ Labor Market; Must ‘Adjust’ Rates ‘In Coming Months’ – Collins Speaks About ‘Wait and See’ Approach Among Economic Players By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – […]
US TARIFFS STATE OF PLAY: New Reciprocal Tariffs Don’t Dispel Uncertainty, Confusion
–Trump Fires Head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics because of alleged manipulation By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – With new reciprocal levies raising America’s average tariff rate to above 18% and the latest jobs and ISM reports raising stagflation fears, the overall era of uncertainty seems to have intensified, not diminished. The environment of […]
FOMC Keeps 4.25-4.50% Funds Rate; 2 Governors Dissent in Favor of Cut
– Governors Waller, Bowman Preferred Immediate 25 Basis Point Rate Cut – Powell: ‘More Neutral’ Policy May Be Justified If ‘Downside Risks’ To Jobs Increase – Powell: For Now ‘Moderately Restrictive’ Stance Leaves Fed ‘Well-Positioned’ By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Once again, Federal Reserve policymakers refused to lower short-term interest rates Wednesday in the […]
Bank of Canada Pauses for 3rd Straight Meeting amid Sticky Core Inflation, Resilient Economy and Uncertain Trade Row Impact on Growth, Prices
–BOC Keeps Policy Rate at Roughly Neutral 2.75% After 7 Rate Cuts Totaling 225 Basis Points from June 2024 Until March 2025BOC: May Need a Rate Cut If Slower Growth, Easing Trade Friction Lead to More Controlled Inflation–Governor Macklem: Still Proceeding Carefully, Hard to Be as Forward-Looking as Normal–Mackem: Taking Policy Decision One Meeting at […]
TRANSCRIPT: Fed’s Powell Stays Away From Promises of a September Rate Cut
.WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The following is a rough transcript of Wednesday afternoon’s post-FOMC meeting news conference with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell: Despite elevated uncertainty, the economy is in a solid position. The unemployment rate remains low and the labor market is at or near maximum employment. Inflation has been running somewhat above our 2% […]