FOMC Faces Tough Choice of Policy Options: Hike, Skip or Pause

– At Issue: The Funds Rate May Be ‘Restrictive,’ But Is it ‘Sufficiently Restrictive‘? By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – In the run up to the Federal Reserve’s mid-June monetary policy meeting we’ve been witnessing a kind of clinic on central bank communication or, some would say, miscommunication. With key data yet to arrive and […]

Bank of Canada Surprises Market with 25 BP Rate Hike; Warns Policy-makers More Worried Inflation Could Get Stuck Well Above 2%

 –BOC Decision Reflects Its View: Policy Not Sufficiently Restrictive to Bring Supply/Demand Back into Balance, Return Inflation Sustainably To 2% Target –BOC: Canada’s Labor Market Remains Tight; Overall, Excess Demand Looks to Be More Persistent Than Anticipated By Max Sato (MaceNews) – The Bank of Canada on Wednesday raised its policy interest rate – the […]

Fed’s Beige Book Survey Sees Little Slowing With Consumption Higher In Most Districts

WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The Federal Reserve’s Beige Book survey of economic conditions coast-to-coast Wednesday found little change overall, with consumption “steady or higher,” labor still tight, manufacturing “flat to up” and supply conditions continuing to improve. The survey, assembled by the Chicago Fed, was tempered by some downsides, saying “high inflation and the end of […]

FOMC Minutes Show Uncertainty About Any June Rate Hike

WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The Federal Open Market Committee participants were not sure what is their most likely policy decision at their June meeting as the Fed staff repeated its outlook for a mild recession at year end or early next year, the meeting minutes showed Wednesday. In fact, the staff told the meeting that the […]

US NABE Panel of 45 Forecasters Show Wider-Than-Usual Disparity of Views on Key Metrics, Improve Outlook vs February

WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The National Association for Business Economics Monday presented the results of its latest quarterly survey of forecasters, with the panel of 45 showing a wider degree of uncertainty over key etrics than usual, although somewhat improved over the previous survey. Some excerpts follow: GDP • Expectations for inflation-adjusted gross domestic product (real […]