STATUS CHECK: BITTER PARTISAN DIVISIONS ON DISPLAY; CONSUMER CONF DETERIORATES

WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The following is Tuesday’s status check of developments in the U.S. that can influence economic, health and political outcomes: A VIX somewhat more tense Tuesday, worsening 2.83% to 25.44, as U.S. stocks backed into the red by moderate amounts, worsening in a steep downdraft in the last hour of trading. The S&P […]

STATUS CHECK: FOMC; THE SHADOW VIRUS TASK FORCE; AS GOES BASEBALL …

WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The following is Monday’s’ status check of developments in the U.S. that can influence economic, health and political outcomes: A VIX improved by a large amount, 4.28%, to 24.74, backgrounded a mildly positive day for U.S. stocks, with the DJIA +0.43%/+114.88; S&P +0.74%/+23.78 and the Nasdaq +1.67%/+173.09. After-hours futures were much the […]

THE JULY FOMC AND BEYOND – WHAT TO EXPECT FROM THE FED

By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Even though the U.S. economy’s partial recovery has lately shown signs of faltering in face of renewed anti-coronavirus restrictions, it would be little short of astonishing if the Federal Reserve’s policy making Federal Open Market Committee were to announce any new monetary stimulus initiatives at the conclusion of its […]

BOE’S HALDANE: MPC MULLING SUB-ZERO RATES DESPITE STRONG ECONOMIC RECOVERY

By Laurie Laird LONDON (MaceNews) – The Bank of England is continuing to assess the efficacy of negative interest rates, despite a stronger-than-expected economy recovery, the bank’s chief economist said Monday. Sub-zero interest rates are “actively under review,” said Andy Haldane, addressing the UK’s Treasury Select Committee.  The bank could also consider expanding its quantitative […]

DATA PREVIEW: JUNE DATA SOLID, BUT COVID REBOUND LOOMS

By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The U.S. data for June have been generally positive, with a solid gain in nonfarm payrolls and the above-50 ISM readings for both the manufacturing and nonmanufacturing sectors. Of course, much of this was before several large states reported rebounds in their COVID-19 cases, so the silver cloud comes […]

FED’S BOSTIC: HIGH-FREQUENCY DATA SHOW LEVELING OFF IN ECONOMY

NEW YORK (MaceNews)- Recent high-frequency economic data suggestthe recovery is slowing as virus infections rise, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said Tuesday. Bostic, in webinar remarks to the Tennessee Business Roundtable, said the economy is rebounding from its depths in the first part of the second quarter but “more recent economic data show the upward […]

TEXT: STAFF BRIEFS FOMC RE YIELD CURVE CAPS, FORWARD GUIDANCE, ASSET PURCH

— Simulations Suggest Highly Accommodative Conditions ‘For Many Years’ WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The Federal Open Market Committee most recent meeting saw participants discuss all the pandemic-related effects and probabilities already covered in Fed speeches and comments since. However the FOMC minutes released Wednesday also had a unique disclosure, the staff briefing for participants on yield […]

BANK OF CANADA’S MACKLEM: NOT CONSIDERING NEGATIVE INTEREST RATES; OUTLOOK UNCERTAIN

NEW YORK (MaceNews) -The Bank of Canada is not considering negative interest rates and now sees its asset purchase program having a stimulative effect, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem said Monday. Macklem, in remarks prepared for delivery during an online event, said the bank expects quick job gains as the economy reopens, but growth […]

FED’S ROSENGREN: MORE POLICY STIMULUS NEEDED; 2H REBOUND WEAK GIVEN VIRUS SPREAD

NEW YORK (MaceNews) – More fiscal and monetary stimulus will probably be needed given rising new Covid-19 cases in many states and a slower-than-hoped recovery, Boston Federal Reserve President Eric Rosengren said Friday. Rosengren, in remarks prepared for delivery at an online event, predicted the unemployment rate will remain in double digits through year end, […]

BANK OF ENGLAND SLOWS ASSET PURCHASES AS CONSUMER SPENDING PICKS UP

— Base Rate Remains at Record-Low 0.1% By Laurie Laird LONDON (MaceNews) – The Bank of England will decrease the pace of its emergency quantitative easing program, noting that the UK has not suffered as much as feared during the economic shutdown implemented in late March. “Recent payments ant other high frequency data suggested that […]