Japan Weekahead: Fuel Subsidies, Softer Global Demand Seen Easing Producer Inflation Further While Real Wages Slow to Recover amid High Costs of Living
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Here are the key Japanese economic events for the coming week. In the previous week, the Bank of Japan’s quarterly business survey for June showed confidence among major manufacturers unexpectedly posted a slight pickup, led by steel mills, oil refineries and paper/pulp makers thanks to lower materials costs, while producers […]
TARIFFS STATE OF PLAY: Trump Tariffs Go Global – A Small Start Compared to What’s Coming
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The new worldwide 25% U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum Wednesday – with no exemptions – piled atop the now 20% levied on China goods, 22 days away from the start of the nation’s far bigger experiment in confrontational trade policy, “reciprocal tariffs.” As expected, retaliatory tariffs also began to accumulate, first […]
Fed Gov. Cook, Other Fed Officials Tread Carefully on Monetary Policy Outlook as 2025 Begins
By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook joined other Fed officials Monday in opening the new year with ambiguous comments about the outlook for monetary policy. Cook, like several colleagues, gave no indication she is eager to resume interest rate reductions in 2025, preferring to wait to see how inflation and […]
Heat Wave Boosts Japanese Consumer Inflation in July, Hitting Many Households as Government Ends Utility Subsidies
–Retail Sales Up on Seasonal Demand but Somewhat Slower as It is Dangerous to Stay Outdoors for Long –Factory Output Rebounds, Government Upgrades View –Unemployment Rate Up on Surge in Quits for Better Positions Amid Widespread Labor Shortages By Max Sato (MaceNews) – The killer heat wave is wreaking havoc across Japan, claiming many lives […]
Japan July Core CPI Annual Rate on Gradual Uptrend at 2.7% Vs. 2.6% in June as Government Ends 18-Month Utility Subsidies, Heat Wave Boosts Air Conditioner Price
–Total CPI Y/Y Rise Steady at 2.8%; Fresh Food Markups Ease After Recent Spike–Core-Core CPI (Ex-Fresh Food, Energy) Up 1.9% Vs. 2.2% amid Easing Pressure from Processed Food Costs By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Consumer inflation in Japan continued accelerating slightly in the core reading in July after the government ended 18-month long utility subsidies […]
Preview: Japan Q2 GDP to Post Modest Rebound After Slumping in Q1 but Consumption Remains Sluggish amid High Costs
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s gross domestic product for the April-June quarter is forecast to post a modest rebound after suffering its first contraction in two quarters in January-March, up 0.6% on quarter, or an annualized 2.3%, as consumption and business investment picked up from the drag of suspended output at Toyota group factories […]
BofA Global Research Fund Manager Survey: Global Investors Buy Bonds on Declining Global Growth Expectations
–US Recession Concern Top Tail Risk –Sixty percent of Managers Expect Four Or More Fed Cuts in Next 12 Months By Vicki Schmelzer NEW YORK (MaceNews) – Global investors made a beeline into bonds in July, driven by declining world growth expectations, according to BofA Global Research’s monthly fund manager survey, released Wednesday. Jitters about […]
Japan July Tokyo Core CPI Annual Rate Rises Slightly to 2.2% from 2.1% in June as Govt Ends Utility Subsidies; Energy Effect Partly Offset by Easing Processed Food Markups
–Total CPI Annual Rate Slows to 2.2% from 2.3% in Light of Smaller Fresh Food Price Rise–Core-Core CPI (Ex-Fresh Food, Energy) Decelerates to +1.5% from 1.8% By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Consumer inflation in Tokyo, the leading indicator of the national average, picked up only slightly in July in the core reading after the government […]
Japan June Core CPI Annual Rate Edges Up to 2.6% from 2.5% in May as Effects of Renewable Energy Fee Hike, Reduced Utility Subsidies Offset Easing Processed Food Markups
–Total CPI June Y/Y Rise Steady at 2.8%; Fresh Food Prices Still Up 8%–Core-Core CPI (Ex-Fresh Food, Energy) Annual Rate Creeps Up to 2.2% from 20-Month Low of 2.1% in May By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Consumer inflation in Japan inched up in two of the three key measures in June on reduced subsidies for […]
Ex-BOJ’s Momma Sees BOJ Cautious About Rate Hike Timing amid Slow Services Price Rise; Not in Position to Act on Weak Yen
–Momma Expects BOJ Rate Hikes in September, January but Warns of Economic Uncertainty–Momma Estimates BOJ’s Own Measure of Underlying Inflation at 1.5%, Still Below 2% Target–Momma: Central Banks Alone Cannot Anchor Inflation; Need Fiscal, Tax Policy Backup for Wealth Redistribution By Max Sato TOKYO (MaceNews) – The Bank of Japan will remain cautious about following […]