IMF’S WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK: WORLD GROWTH REVISED +0.3 TO 5.5%

WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The International Monetary Fund’s January update to its World Economic Outlook Tuesday saw world growth revised up 0.3 to 5.5%, fueled by a vaccine-propelled recovery. Last year’s performance benefited from a stronger than previously seen second half and it was revised up 0.9 to a contraction of 3.5%. U.S. growth was revised […]

DATA PREVIEW: 4Q GDP, IMF’S WEO, FOMC, DURABLE GOODS

WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The upcoming week is packed with economic data, including the fourth quarter GDP, as well as a Federal Open Market Committee policy update and Chair Jay Powell’s news conference, and an update to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook. The GDP report is Thursday. The various GDPNow estimates don’t agree, with the New […]

BOE RATE SETTER: UK CONTRACTION EXAGGERATED BY STATISTICAL ANOMALIES

— MPC Member Broadbent suggests inflation has fallen by less than feared By Laurie Laird LONDON (MaceNews) – The UK economic contraction may have been exaggerated by the statistical measurement of public services, according to a Bank of England official, who also downplayed sustained below-target inflation in Britain.  “Part of the drop in GDP reflects an […]

DATA PREVIEW: PERSONAL INCOME, REVISED GDP AND MUCH MORE

WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – It’s time for Christmas already, and the holiday and the fact Christmas Eve is now a federal holiday as well has rearranged some of the week’s data reports. Yet with the possible exception of the weekly claims report, now coming Wednesday morning, very little if any of the week’s data is expected […]

JAPAN Q3 GDP REVISED UP TO +5.3% Q/Q, +22.9% ANNUALIZED, ON FIRMER CONSUMPTION, CAPEX

By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s economy for the July-September quarter surged an upwardly revised 5.3% on quarter, or an annualized 22.9%, from the initial reading of +5.0% (+21.4% annualized), as a rebound in consumer spending turned out to be stronger than previously estimated and the decline in business investment was smaller than initially believed, […]

DATA FLASH: US OCTOBER PERSONAL INCOME FALLS AS STIMULUS DISAPPEARS

–US October Personal Income -0.7% After +0.7% in October, Savings Rate 13.6%–Nominal PCE +0.5%, Real PCE +0.5%; Core Prices Flat–November Michigan Sentiment Index Revised Down to 76.9, Expectations Tumble By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – Personal income fell in October, reflecting the removal of the Lost Wages stimulus package that lifted income in September, one […]

UK DOWNGRADES ECONOMIC FORECASTS; RETURN TO POST-PANDEMIC LEVEL DELAYED TO END 2022

By Laurie Laird LONDON (MaceNews) – The UK economy – already lagging its developed-world peers – will recover more slowly than expected, according to updated forecasts released on Wednesday.  Output will not regain its pre-pandemic level until the final quarter of 2022, according to UK’s top finance official, Chancellor Rishi Sunak, delivering his spending statement […]

STATUS CHECK COMMENTARY- STILL WAITING FOR YELLEN

WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The following is Tuesday’s status check of developments in the U.S. that can influence economic, health and political outcomes. ·        President-Elect Joe Biden’s slate of foreign policy, national security and domestic security picks who made their formal debut Tuesday did not yet include Janet Yellen, who perhaps will get a solo event […]

DATA PREVIEW: ODD THANKSGIVING CAPS OFF A BUSY WEEK

By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – As a result of surging COVID cases, the upcoming Thanksgiving holiday will be the strangest on record, with a Zoom screen at the other end of the table rather than relatives. It could prevent the spread of COVID, but it may also prevent the usual Thanksgiving sporting event in […]