US Data Preview: Inflation Week – CPI/PPI and Credit Mkt Gonzo Watch
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – Too bad that on the upcoming week’s schedule there’s not another Jay Powell “cross my heart and hope to die” pledge he’s NOT reconsidering policy any time soon, embracing “Op Twist” or otherwise dismantling the Federal Open Market Committee, triggering another jittery freak-out among non-believers. Failing that, the news watch will have […]
NABE Survey: More Optimistic Re Growth But Jobs Recovery Waits Until ‘23
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The National Association for Business Economics, in its March outlook survey of members released Monday, found more optimism about growth but no full jobs recovery until 2023. Their views are bullet pointed here: Summary: While NABE panelists have become increasingly optimistic about future GDP growth, their views on the job market are […]
Thursday Washington Schedules from MaceNews
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The following are Thursday’s public schedules for the White House, Treasury, the Capitol and for upcoming economic data: The White House DAILY GUIDANCE AND PRESS SCHEDULE FORTHURSDAY, FEBRUARY 25, 2021 In the morning, the President and the Vice President will receive the President’s Daily Brief in the Situation Room. This meeting will […]
US Data Preview: Fed’s Powell Testimony, Durable Goods Orders, Revised GDP, Personal Income, New Home Sales
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The week ahead features a little look-ahead and a lot of look back, with perhaps some hints at how the first quarter is performing and a lot about how the patient Federal Reserve hopes to see a continuing recovery. The least informative of the lot may be Thursday’s update of the fourth […]
IMF’S WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK: WORLD GROWTH REVISED +0.3 TO 5.5%
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The International Monetary Fund’s January update to its World Economic Outlook Tuesday saw world growth revised up 0.3 to 5.5%, fueled by a vaccine-propelled recovery. Last year’s performance benefited from a stronger than previously seen second half and it was revised up 0.9 to a contraction of 3.5%. U.S. growth was revised […]
DATA PREVIEW: 4Q GDP, IMF’S WEO, FOMC, DURABLE GOODS
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The upcoming week is packed with economic data, including the fourth quarter GDP, as well as a Federal Open Market Committee policy update and Chair Jay Powell’s news conference, and an update to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook. The GDP report is Thursday. The various GDPNow estimates don’t agree, with the New […]
BOE RATE SETTER: UK CONTRACTION EXAGGERATED BY STATISTICAL ANOMALIES
— MPC Member Broadbent suggests inflation has fallen by less than feared By Laurie Laird LONDON (MaceNews) – The UK economic contraction may have been exaggerated by the statistical measurement of public services, according to a Bank of England official, who also downplayed sustained below-target inflation in Britain. “Part of the drop in GDP reflects an […]
DATA PREVIEW: PERSONAL INCOME, REVISED GDP AND MUCH MORE
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – It’s time for Christmas already, and the holiday and the fact Christmas Eve is now a federal holiday as well has rearranged some of the week’s data reports. Yet with the possible exception of the weekly claims report, now coming Wednesday morning, very little if any of the week’s data is expected […]
JAPAN Q3 GDP REVISED UP TO +5.3% Q/Q, +22.9% ANNUALIZED, ON FIRMER CONSUMPTION, CAPEX
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s economy for the July-September quarter surged an upwardly revised 5.3% on quarter, or an annualized 22.9%, from the initial reading of +5.0% (+21.4% annualized), as a rebound in consumer spending turned out to be stronger than previously estimated and the decline in business investment was smaller than initially believed, […]
DATA FLASH: US OCTOBER PERSONAL INCOME FALLS AS STIMULUS DISAPPEARS
–US October Personal Income -0.7% After +0.7% in October, Savings Rate 13.6%–Nominal PCE +0.5%, Real PCE +0.5%; Core Prices Flat–November Michigan Sentiment Index Revised Down to 76.9, Expectations Tumble By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – Personal income fell in October, reflecting the removal of the Lost Wages stimulus package that lifted income in September, one […]