TARIFFS STATE OF PLAY: Trump Tariffs Go Global – A Small Start Compared to What’s Coming
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The new worldwide 25% U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum Wednesday – with no exemptions – piled atop the now 20% levied on China goods, 22 days away from the start of the nation’s far bigger experiment in confrontational trade policy, “reciprocal tariffs.” As expected, retaliatory tariffs also began to accumulate, first […]
TARIFFS STATE OF PLAY: Confusion as Tariffs and Tariff Threats Multiply
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – As one round of tariffs took effect Tuesday and more were threatened, rampant uncertainty permeated plunging U.S. stock markets while interest rates continued to dramatically ease. Analysts found themselves giving contradictory assessments on the business channels as the probabilities for more Federal Reserve rate cuts this year were coupled with dire predictions […]
US ISM Manufacturing Stays Just Above Neutral Line in February after Ending 2 Years of Contraction in January as Trump Tariffs Trigger Greater Uncertainties
–ISM Manufacturing Index at 50.3 Vs. 50.9 in January, Below Consensus (50.5)–ISM’s Fiore: February Report ‘Overshadowed’ by Tariff Talk among Firms–Fiore: Lower New Orders, Higher Inventories, Slower Supply Deliveries ‘One-Month Blip, Might Clear Up in March or April–Fiore: This Doesn’t Indicate Decline in Overall ISM Manufacturing Activity By Max Sato (MaceNews) – U.S. manufacturing activity […]
US ISM Manufacturing Back in Growth at Start of 2025, Waking Up from More Than 2 Years of Doldrums on Cyclical Pickup in New Orders, Output, Jobs
–ISM Manufacturing Index at 50.9 Vs. 49.2 in December, Again Well Above Consensus (49.5)–ISM’s Fiore: Upward Help from Seasonal Adjustments in January 2025 Half of Those in January 2024–Fiore: Trump Tariffs Won’t Help US Firms; Doesn’t Make Sense to Pay Duties on Own Goods Made in Canada, Mexico–Fiore: Demand for US Manufacturers Sees Cyclical Rebound […]
US December ISM Manufacturing Shows Signs of Pickup on Demand Side but Layoffs Continue Until Yearend
–ISM Manufacturing Index at 49.3 Vs. 48.4 in November, Well Above Median Forecast of 48.5–ISM’s Fiore: ‘We Are Concerned’ About Trump Tariff Threat as It Would Cause Supply Chain Confusion–Fiore: ISM Set to Rise Above Neutral Line of 50 in Q1, ‘If Not In January, Probably in February’–Fiore: Not Much Price Pressure; December CPI, PCE, […]
US November ISM Manufacturing in Contraction for 8th Straight Month but Shows Signs of Pickup in early 2025; Firms Look at Bright Side of Potentially Business Friendly New Administration
–ISM Manufacturing Index at 48.4 vs. 46.5 in October, Well above Median Forecast of 47.6–ISM’s Fiore: Concerns about Inflationary Fiscal Policy Not Going Away but Optimism over Trump Plans Kicks in–ISM’s Fiore: US Economy on Soft-Landing Course; Still Believes ISM Index Likely to Pick Up Above Neutral Line of 50 in Q1 of 2025 By […]
Japan Still Sees Modest Economic Recovery but Warns It Now Needs to Watch Future US Policy amid Headwinds of Inflation, Middle East Tensions, Weak Yen
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s government maintained its overall assessment that the economy’s “modest recovery” is set to continue thanks to wage hikes amid widespread labor shortages, but urged a close watch on the future U.S. government policy as well as lingering high costs for necessities, geopolitical risks and the weak yen. In its […]
Japan Government Slightly Upgrades Its View on Economic Recovery after BOJ Conducts 2nd Rate Hike in July
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s government upgraded its overall economic assessment for the first time in six months, noting consumer spending is supported by wage hikes and temporary income tax credits, but the change in wording is subtle and it continues to say the economy is recovering “moderately.” In its monthly report for August […]
Japan July Export Rise Led by Semiconductors, Autos from US, Asia, Offsetting Slow Shipments to Europe; Trade Deficit Wider Than Expected
–Imports Surge on Drugs, Computers, Crude Oil as Relatively Weak Yen Keeps Costs High–Exports to China Post 8th Straight Y/Y Rise Following Last Year’s Slump–Exports to US Remain Robust; Those to EU Mark 4th Straight Y/Y Decline By Max Sato (MaceNews) –Japanese export values rose 10.3% for the eighth straight year-over-year increase in July, led […]
Japan June Core Machine Orders Post 1st M/M Rise in 3 Months as Computer Demand from Various Industries Remains Solid
–Q2 Core Orders -0.2% Q/Q, Easily Beating -1.6% Official Forecast as Largely Expected–Q3 Core Orders Seen Up Modest 0.2% Q/Q, Indicating Uncertainty over Global Growth; June Core Orders Mark 1st Y/Y Drop in 4 Months–Cabinet Office Keeps View After Last Month’s Downgrade: Pickup in Machine Orders Pausing By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japanese core machinery […]