US CBO TEXT: DEFICIT HEADING TO ALL-TIME RECORD; 10-YR OUTLOOK SURPRISES
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The non-partisan Congressional Budget Office Wednesday updated its outlook for annual budget deficits, and while the impending record widening is no surprise, the tapering toward the end of the next decade was unexpected. The following is the CBO text of its summary of the budget update, with boldfaced emphasis added: • Deficits […]
FED’S BEIGE BK SEES MIXED ECONOMY, ‘STALLED’ IN NY, STRONG IN CHI
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The latest Federal Reserve Beige Book survey of economic activity in all 12 regional districts Wednesday found a mixed picture, with a wide range of outcomes from “stalled” in the New York district to “strongly” improved in Chicago. Generally the survey prepared by the Minneapolis bank for the next Federal Open Market […]
STATUS CHECK: CREDIBILITY, DENIALS, INSINUATIONS AND CHARGES
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The following is Tuesday’s status check of developments in the U.S. that can influence economic, health and political outcomes: At the end of last week it was noted here that events had chipped away at the credibility of the government and the White House in particular regarding the coronavirus. Now it has […]
DATA FLASH: US MANUFACTURING CONDITIONS IMPROVE FURTHER IN AUGUST
–ISM Manufacturing Index Rises To 56.0 In August, High Since Nov 2018–July Construction Spending Softer Than Expected; Residential Up By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The August ISM index showed U.S . manufacturing sector activity expanded further due to extraordinarily strong demand, but the sector is still laying off workers and some sectors have not […]
STATUS CHECK: FOOD LINES AND GOVT INERTIA; VIRUS, STREET UNREST, JOBLESSNESS
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The following is Monday’s status check of developments in the U.S. that can influence economic, health and political outcomes: Life in these United States, another chapter. President Trump holds a news conference and defends his MAGA truck rally firing paint balls at Black Lives Matter protestors – “Paint is not bullets.” – […]
STATUS CHECK: FROM JACOB BLAKE TO CHADWICK BOZEMAN, A WEEK TO REMEMBER – AND FORGET
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The following is Friday’s status check of developments in the U.S. that can influence economic, health and political outcomes: A week filled with news is over. No more apocalyptic-themed Republican National Convention. The ghost of Hurricane Laura is cutting across the Washington-to-Philadelphia area toward the Atlantic. The Federal Reserve has formalized its […]
DATA PREVIEW: AUGUST PAYROLLS, HURRICANE LAURA TOP OF MIND
By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The impact of Hurricane Laura, which ripped through the Gulf Region on Thursday and is carving its way up the middle of the U.S. as we speak, will be felt in the weekly initial claims and rig count data next week and could also affect retail sales and other […]
DATA FLASH: US JULY PERSONAL INCOME TICKS UP, PCE GROWTH SLOWS
-US July Personal Income +0.4% After -1.0% in June, Savings Rate 17.8%-Nominal PCE +1.9%, Real PCE +1.6%; Core Prices Rise 0.3%-Real PCE Tracking 36.6% SAAR Above Second Quarter Average-Chicago PMI Trims to 51.2 in August from 51.9 in July-August Michigan Sentiment Revised Up to 74.1, Ahead of 72.5 in July By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) […]
CORONAVIRUS DEALS BLOW TO GERMAN CONSUMER CONFIDENCE: GFK INSTITUTE
By Marco Babic ZURICH (MaceNews) – After improving for three consecutive months, consumer confidence in Germany fell on fears coronavirus restrictions will be further tightened, which served to dampen income expectations. Based on August results, Germany’s GfK institute is forecasting a reading of -1.8 in September for consumer confidence, down from a revised -0.2 in […]
ANALYSIS: FED CAN NOW HAVE FULL-THROATED RECOVERY FOCUS ON JOBS
By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The pandemic’s destruction of U.S. employment was not the trigger for the new Federal Reserve policy framework, in the works long before the virus hit. However the jobs crisis is a perfectly appropriate context for the focus on employment. That focus had already become the hallmark of the Jay […]