JULY CPI’S POP QUICKLY KNOCKED INTO IRRELEVANCE AS MKTS MOVE
–July CPI Core +0.3%; Y/Y +2.2% By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – Tuesday’s CPI pop, an excursion a tenth higher than the inflation comfort level, had no sooner depressed stock futures than the White House signaled a major softening of the impending tariff attack on China, igniting an explosion of share prices and halting the […]
FED’S BULLARD: NEED TO WAIT, SEE IF MORE EASING NEEDED
By Steven K. Beckner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard said Tuesday the Fed “took out insurance” against trade-related risks to the economy by cutting interest rates last week and must now determine if more credit easing is needed.. In cutting rates, Bullard told the National Economics Club the central […]
JULY JOBS RPT HO MUM; WAITING FOR CHINA COUNTERPUNCH
–No Turnaround in Year’s Worsening Trade Deficit Trend –Treasury 10-Year Keeps 1.88% Yield, Cut By New Tariff Threat By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – July’s moderate increase in payrolls reported Friday – 164,000 – was balanced by a cutback in hours and no acceleration in sub-par wage growth, headlining a U.S. jobs report overshadowed by […]
FOMC DELIVERS ITS QTR POINT CUT DESPITE ‘RISING’ ECONOMY
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The Federal Open Market Committee Wednesday delivered a bare-bones statement that aside from the expected quarter-point rate cut information contained less than usual characterizations of the economy, other than activity is “rising,” the labor market continues to be strong and inflation remains below target. The one additional nugget was that the balance […]
US TBAC RPT: 1-YR SOFR LINKER COULD PRICE ‘BETTER’ THAN TSY 1-YR
–US Treasury’s Quarterly Refunding As Expected, Raises $26.7 Bln New Cash WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – In their quarterly refunding announcements Wednesday morning, U.S. Treasury officials again said no decision has been reached on a SOFR 1-year floating rate note while the private-sector Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee suggested it’s looking forward to it. Treasury has said a […]
US 2ND QTR GDP: TECHNICAL NOTE EXCERPTS
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The following are excerpts from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis technical notes which accompany Friday’s report on second-quarter GDP: GDP increased 2.1 percent (annual rate) in the second quarter of 2019, following an increase of 3.1percent in the first. The increase in second quarter real GDP primarily reflected increases in consumer […]
IMF WEO UPDATE: GLOBAL GROWTH REMAINS SUBDUED
–Trade Tensions, Brexit Trim Tenth From Global Growth to 3.2% This Year –Growth Projections for 2020 ‘Is Precarious’ –Risks ‘Mainly to the Downsides –Chides US for Using Tariffs Vs Bilateral Trade Balances WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The International Monetary Fund’s mid-year update to its World Economic Outlook Tuesday saw only extremely modest downgrades in growth projections, […]
US JUNE BUDGET DEFICIT -$8 BLN; AFTER ADJUSTMENT, -$55 BLN
–Fiscal Year to Date Deficit -$747 Bln; Outlays/Receipts Records –No New Guidance on Debt Limit X-Date; Still Late Summer WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The June U.S. budget deficit was only $8 billion – until adjustment for shifted benefit payments that boosted it to $55 billion, on the way to what the White House expects will be […]
FED’S POWELL HINTS AN INSURANCE RATE CUT; MUCH DATA YET TO COME
–‘Committed to Using Our Tools’ to Keep Expansion Going By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell came to Capitol Hill Wednesday to emphasize those cross currents of uncertainty still “weigh on the economy” and while never uttering the words “insurance” or “rate cut,” he repeated how important he feels it is […]
PACE OF CANADIAN HIRING SLOWS IN JUNE
By Gordon Isfeld OTTAWA (MaceNews) – Canada’s economy continued to churn out jobs in June, although at a weaker pace than most previous months, while the unemployment rate edged up to 5.5% as more people were looking for work, Statistics Canada said Friday. The jobless rate had been lower in May, at 5.4%, but that followed […]