Preview: Forecasters See Japanese Core CPI +3.0% for November, Well Above 2% BOJ Target
Consensus outlook for Mace NewsFriday, Dec. 19, 20250830 JST (2330 GMT/1830 EST Thursday, Dec. 18) The Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications releases November CPIMace News median: total CPI +2.9% y/y (range: +2.8% to +3.0%) vs. Oct +3.0%; core CPI (ex-fresh food) +3.0% y/y (range: +2.8% to +3.1%) vs. Oct +3.0%; core-core CPI (ex-fresh food, […]
Update: Japan Week Ahead: Bank of Japan Set to Hike Rates amid Easing Uncertainty over Trade Rows, Focus on Governor Ueda Remarks on Estimated Neutral Rate
–Adds Context to Economy Watchers Survey in Paragraphs 15-17 (MaceNews) – Here are the key Japanese economic events for the coming week, with the market focus on what the governor of the Bank of Japan will say about a widely expected interest rate hike and how much more the bank should lift the overnight rate […]
Preview: Forecasters See Japan Exports Up 2.6% on Year in November with Boost from Weak Yen
Wednesday, Dec. 17, 20250850 JST (2350 GMT/1850 EST Tuesday, Dec. 16) The Ministry of Finance releases November trade.Mace News median: exports +2.6% y/y (range: +0.4% to +5.0%) vs. Oct. +3.6%; imports +0.5% y/y (range: -1.4% to +3.9%) vs. Oct +0.7%; trade surplus ¥47.60 billion (range: a deficit of ¥17.00 billion to a surplus of ¥128.30 […]
Preview: Forecasters See Japanese Machinery Orders Showing Retreat in October
Wednesday, Dec. 17, 20250850 JST (2350 GMT/1850 EST Tuesday, Dec. 16) The Cabinet Office releases October machinery orders.Mace News median: core orders -2.6% m/m (range: -5.0% to +2.7%) vs. Sept +4.2%; +3.6% y/y (range: +0.6% to +9.1%) vs. Sept +11.6% By Chikafumi Hodo TOKYO (MaceNews) – Japan’s core machinery orders, a key leading indicator of […]
FOMC Cuts Funds Rate 25 BP, Projects Single 25 BP Cut By End Of 2026
– Powell Signals Pause, Saying FOMC Can Now ‘Wait and See’ How Economy Evolves – Powell: After 175 BP of Easing, Funds Rate in ‘Plausible’ Range of ‘Neutral’ – FOMC Declares Reserves ‘Ample’; to Start Buying Shorter Term Treasuires By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – At their final monetary policy meeting of 2025 Wednesday, a […]
TRANSCRIPT: Fed Chair Powell Sees Policy Rate Within Range of Neutral Rate and Payrolls Now Negative
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The following is a rough transcript of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s post-FOMC news conference Wednesday:
Preview: Forecasters See Japan’s Producer Prices Up 2.7% in November from Year Ago, Unchanged from October
Wednesday, Dec. 10, 2025 0850 JST (2350 GMT/1850 EST Tuesday, Dec. 9) The Bank of Japan releases the November corporate goods price index. Mace News median: CGPI +2.7% y/y (range: +2.5% to +2.9%) vs. Oct +2.7%; +0.3% m/m (range: +0.2% to +0.5%) vs. Oct +0.4% By Chikafumi Hodo TOKYO (MaceNews) – Japan’s corporate goods price […]
Preview: Forecasters See Japan Q3 GDP Revised Lower to -0.5% on Quarter
Monday, Dec. 8 0850 JST (2350 GMT/1850 EST Sunday, Dec. 7) Cabinet Office releases the revised GDP for July-September 2025.Mace News median: -0.5% q/q (range -0.6% to -0.4%) vs. Q3 prelim -0.4%; -2.1% annualized (range -2.4% to -1.6%) vs. Q3 prelim -1.8%; +1.1% y/y (range +0.9% to +1.1%) vs. Q3 prelim +1.1% By Chikafumi Hodo […]
PREVIEW: JAPAN HOUSEHOLD SPENDING SEEN +1.6% ON YEAR IN OCT.
– Friday, Dec. 50830 JST (2350 GMT/1830 EST Thursday, Dec. 4) The Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications releases the October average household spending. Mace News survey median forecasts: +1.6% y/y (range: +0.3% to +2.2%) vs. Sept +1.8%; +0.8% m/m (range: -0.1% to +2.7%) vs. Sept -0.7% By Chikafumi Hodo TOKYO (MaceNews) – Japan’s real […]
Japan Week Ahead: BOJ Governor Ueda Speaks to Business Leaders amid Expectations for Rate Hike in December or January
–October Household Spending Forecast to Show Only Modest Rise as Inflation for Daily Necessities Continues to Bite By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Here are the key Japanese economic events for the coming week: Ahead of the Dec. 18-19 policy meeting, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda will deliver a speech in Nagoya, central Japan, to […]