US ISM Manufacturing Sector Buoyed by Cautious Optimism, in Growth Territory for 9th Straight Month in September, but US Trade War, Mideast Conflict Keeping Costs High, Deliveries Slow
–ISM’s Spence: Firms Jittery about Not Being Able to Rely on Stead Economic Policy By Max Sato (MaceNews) – U.S. manufacturing activity expanded for the ninth straight month in September, thanks to a cautiously optimistic business outlook, but Washington’s wars on the trade front and in the Middle East are keeping various costs high and […]
UPDATE – Fed Officials Stay Focused On ‘Too High’ Inflation Despite Encouraging PCE Data
– Jefferson: Inflation Risk To Upside; Worried People Will Stop Believing Fed 2% Goal – Collins: Some ‘Promising’ Inflation Signs; Others Less Promising; Still Upside Risks – Kashkari Downplays PCE Report As Just “A Snapshot’; Foresees More Rate Hikes – Cook: Inflation ‘Too High For Too Long’; Labor Market Can Handle Tightening By Steven K. […]
NABE Survey Shows Shift to Expectations of Fed Tightening Among Business Economists
By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – The mood of business economists has shifted dramatically, swinging from hope for monetary easing to expectations of more monetary tightening, according to a survey by the National Association for Business Economics released Monday. The NABE’s semi-annual survey of its 151 members shows a substantial proportion of them considering both […]
US ISM Services Sector Posts Faster Growth in August on Seasonal, Broad-Based Demand but Mideast Conflict, New Tariffs, AI Projects Keep Costs High, Make Firms Wary of Hiring
–ISM’s Miller: Employment Index in Contraction as Firms Reluctant to Hire While Trying to Cope with Impact of Rising Costs By Max Sato (MaceNews) – U.S. services sector activity perked up in August on summer holiday, back to school and other demand but many firms continued to struggle in supply management, hit by rising costs […]
US ISM Manufacturing Posts 8th Straight Growth in August but at Slower Pace as Persistent Inflation, Trade War Hurt New Orders, Jobs; AI Projects Keep Chip Supply Tight
–ISM’s Spence Sees Positive Sentiment in Employment Start to Deteriorate in August–Spence: Prolonged Trade Uncertainty Can Delay Orders, Increase Price Pressures By Max Sato (MaceNews) – U.S. manufacturing activity expanded for the eighth straight month in August but slowed more than expected as persistent inflation during the Iran war and additional punitive import duties slapped […]
US ISM Services Sector Expands for 25th Month in July but Effects of Higher Business Activity, New Orders Offset by Slower Hiring amid Tariffs, Iran War, AI Use
–ISM’s Miller: Significant Portion of Higher 2026 Capex Plans Among Services Firms Linked to Rises in Financing Costs, Prices Paid to Suppliers By Max Sato (MaceNews) – U.S. services sector remains resilient despite rising costs, expanding for the 25th straight month in July, but the pace of growth was little changed from June as higher […]
US ISM Services Sector Growth Slower in June but Marks 2 Years of Expansion as Easing Energy Costs, Lower Inventories Indicate Stabilizing Supply Chains
–ISM’s Miller: Inflationary Pressures from Fuel Prices Expected to Continue Easing but Prices Index Still Elevated By Max Sato (MaceNews) – U.S. services sector expansion slowed slightly in June after accelerating in May but remained in growth territory for two years in a row, with easing in energy prices and a pullback in inventories pointing […]
FOMC Holds Rates Steady; Drops Easing Bias By Ending Forward Guidance
— SEP Shows Fed Officials See Funds Rate Rising To 3.8% By End ‘26; Back to 3.6% end ’27 – -SEP Inflation Forecast Lifted for 2026 From 2.7% to 3.6% — Warsh Didn’t Submit Funds Rate Dot; Half Want Rate Same or Lower; Half Want Rate Hike – -Warsh Committed To 2% Inflation; ‘Compatible’ With […]
Fed Officials Not Ready To Move Rates Either Way as Iran Uncertainty Continues
— Rate Hike Sentiment Rising, But Most Inclined to Be Patient — Easing Bias Seems Increasingly Likely To Go By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Federal Reserve officials leaned half heartedly toward a potential tightening of monetary policy this week, as they struggled to keep up with the vicissitudes of the Iran conflict and its […]
US ISM Manufacturing PMI Expands for 5th Straight Month in May, Backed by New Orders, but Mideast Conflict Keeping Costs High
–ISM’s Spence: New Orders Up on Pent-Up Demand, Instead of Customers Stocking Up Before Iran War Causes Further Disruption–Spence: Employment in Contraction but Better in May, Elevated Prices Ease, Both in Right Direction By Max Sato (MaceNews) – U.S. manufacturing activity expanded for the fifth straight month in May backed by a solid gain in […]