DATA FLASH: US SEPTEMBER PERSONAL INCOME REBOUNDS, PCE JUMPS
–US Sept Personal Income +0.9% After -2.5% in August, Savings Rate 14.3%–Nominal PCE +1.4%, Real PCE +1.2%; Core Prices +0.2%–Chicago PMI Slips to Still-Strong 61.1 in October from 64.2 in September–Oct Michigan Sentiment Index Revised Up to 81.1, Vs 80.4 in September By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – Personal income rebounded in September, reflecting a […]
STATUS CHECK COMMENTARY – STOWING THE AMMO BEFORE ELECTION DAY
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The following is Thursday’s status check of developments in the U.S. that can influence economic, health and political outcomes. · Does anyone still care that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Treasury Secretary Stephen Mnuchin exchanged letters, each listing the deficiencies in the other’s position on pandemic relief. Suffice to say they’re far […]
FOMC APT TO STAND PAT FOR NOW, BUT FUTURE FISSURES EMERGING
By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – The Federal Reserve is about to hold its second Federal Open Market Committee meeting under its new monetary policy framework amid strange and rapidly changing circumstances. No policy change is likely on Nov. 5. In other words, the FOMC will almost certainly leave the federal funds rate in the […]
DATA PREVIEW: GDP WILL REBOUND FOR Q3, BUT NOT NEARLY ENOUGH
By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – After the 31.4% plunge in second quarter GDP, there is no doubt that economic growth partially rebounded in the third quarter, data to be released Thursday will show. Consumption, home building and business activity all improved drastically from the lockdown-period of the previous quarter. But it will be a […]
DATA FLASH: US SEPTEMBER CPI ROSE BY 0.2%; GAINS SLOWING
–Core Prices Also Up 0.2%; Ex. Only Energy, CPI Still Up 0.2%–Energy Prices Rose By 0.8%, Food Prices Flat By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The September consumer price data were right on expectations, with 0.2% gain for both headline and core CPI. The year/year rates for inflation remain significantly below their pre-COVID levels and […]
STATUS CHECK – OF PRESIDENTIAL HEALTH CHECKS AND REGENERON RATIONING
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The following is Friday’s status check of developments in the U.S. that can influence economic, health and political outcomes. · President Trump went on Fox late Friday and for what was billed as on on-air health assessment – spoiler alert – he passed. The in-house doctor asked him some questions from the […]
DATA PREVIEW: TAKE A DEEP BREATH, BECAUSE HERE COMES THE PAIN
By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – Nothing in life is free. That also applies to the data schedule. After a week that was extremely short on major data, the upcoming week’s schedule is overflowing with it, with the mid-month price, production and sales data crammed into a holiday-shortened four-day week. Hurricane Delta is hitting the […]
DATA FLASH: US INITIAL CLAIMS SLIP FURTHER, BUT NOT VERY QUICKLY
-Initial Claims -9,000 to 840,000; 4-Wk Average Has 10th Straight Decline By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – Initial claims fell by 9,000 in the October 3 week to a level of 840,000, above expectations for a level of 819,000, the Labor Department reported Thursday. While any decline is welcomed, the tight range in which initial claims […]
FOMC MINUTES: WORRIED ABOUT MORE VIRUS WITH NO STIMULUS
By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The minutes of the mid September Federal Open Market Committee meeting Wednesday showed Fed Board members and regional bank presidents worried about more intense virus outbreaks and the chance of no near-term government stimulus – weeks before both concern seemed to be realized. The minutes added almost nothing in […]
DATA FLASH: US SEPTEMBER PAYROLLS UP 661,000; UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 7.9%
–Leisure and Hospitality, Retail Sectors Lead Gain; Hourly Earnings +0.1% By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The September employment report Friday showed solid, but softer than expected payrolls improvement and a modest increase in hourly earnings. A sharp drop in local education payrolls was a key factor. At the same time, the unemployment rate fell […]