DATA PREVIEW: JUNE DATA SOLID, BUT COVID REBOUND LOOMS
By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The U.S. data for June have been generally positive, with a solid gain in nonfarm payrolls and the above-50 ISM readings for both the manufacturing and nonmanufacturing sectors. Of course, much of this was before several large states reported rebounds in their COVID-19 cases, so the silver cloud comes […]
DATA FLASH: US JUNE PPI A SURPRISE, DOWN 0.2% ON FOOD REVERSAL
–Prices Ex-Food/Energy -0.3%; Up 0.3% Excluding Trade Services as Well–Energy Prices Rise Further 7.7% on a 26.3% Jump in Gasoline Prices–Food Prices Plunge 5.2% After a 6.0% Jump in May By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – U.S. business prices fell 0.2% in June, a fourth decline in the last five months. The June drop was […]
DATA FLASH: US INITIAL CLAIMS SLIP, BUT STUBBORNLY ABOVE 1 MILLION
—Initial Claims -99,000 to 1.314 Mln; Pace of Decline Continues to Flatten–-Wholesale Inventories -1.2% in May, Business Inventories Tracking -2.3% By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The pace of initial claims gains continues to astound, with COVID-19 cases surging in several states that are causing some restrictions to be put back into place. Initial filings fell […]
FED’S BOSTIC: HIGH-FREQUENCY DATA SHOW LEVELING OFF IN ECONOMY
NEW YORK (MaceNews)- Recent high-frequency economic data suggestthe recovery is slowing as virus infections rise, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said Tuesday. Bostic, in webinar remarks to the Tennessee Business Roundtable, said the economy is rebounding from its depths in the first part of the second quarter but “more recent economic data show the upward […]
DATA FLASH: US MANUFACTURING MOVES BACK TO POSITIVE IN JUNE
–May Construction Spending Falls Sharply–June ADP Points to Further Job Recovery; Challenger Shows Layoffs Continue By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The June ISM index showed U.S. manufacturing sector activity improved further, in line with the regional and Markit data. Survey respondents in the ISM report noted a rebound in demand has kept factories busy. […]
DATA FLASH: US INITIAL CLAIMS FALL FURTHER, PHILADELPHIA FED JUMPS
––Initial Claims -58,000 to 1.508 Mln; 41.8 Mln Unadj Total Under COVID-–Philly Fed Manufacturing Index Surges to 27.5 in June from -43.1 in May By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – U.S. initial jobless claims filings fell further in the current week, but the pace of weekly declines has slowed and the level itself remains extremely elevated. […]
FED’S MESTER: ‘VERY ACCOMMODATIVE POLICY NEEDED’ WITH FUNDS RATE UNCH. THROUGH END 2022
NEW YORK MaceNews) – Cleveland Federal Reserve President Loretta Mester said monetary policy needs to stay “very accommodative” and she agrees with her colleagues that the federal funds target should remain unchanged through 2022. In remarks for delivery on a webinar, said she and her colleagues agree a recovery is under way beginning in the […]
BNK OF AMERICA GLOBAL FUND MANAGER SURVEY SEES CAUTIOUS OPTIMISM
–Fret Any Second COVID-19 Wave –World Stocks Deemed Most ‘Overvalued’ Since 1998 By Vicki Schmelzer NEW YORK (MaceNews) – Global investors polled in June were cautiously optimistic about world growth, but wary that a second wave of COVID-19 could weigh on economic prospects, according to the findings of BofA Global Research’s monthly fund manager survey, […]
DATA FLASH: APRIL INCOME LIFTED BY STIMULUS, BUT NO PLACE TO SPEND
–US April Personal Income +10.5%, Transfer Payments +89.6% on Stimulus–Savings Rate 33.0%, Nominal PCE -13.6%, Real PCE -13.2%, Core Prices -0.4%–May Chicago PMI Falls to 32.3 from 35.4 in April–May Michigan Sentiment Index Revised Down to 72.3 After 71.8 in April By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – Personal income surged in April on the large […]
FED’S HARKER: FED TO KEEP RATES LOW UNTIL A ‘DEMONSTRABLE MOVE’ TOWARD NORMAL ECONOMY
By Jon Hurdle PHILADELPHIA (MaceNews) – Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Patrick Harker said on Tuesday that interest rates will remain low until policy-makers see clear evidence that the economy is recovering from the Covid-19 pandemic. “We have committed in the FOMC to move rates to essentially zero. The Fed Funds rate is between zero and […]