WHITE HOUSE WATCH: GRUESOME VIRUS DEVELOPMENTS HARDLY NEWS ANY MORE

By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – Virus infection cases kept multiplying Thursday, death tolls kept going up, more governors and mayors ignored President Trump’s dream of packed churches on Easter and the U.S. kept mostly ignoring the kind of contact tracing that slowed the virus to a crawl elsewhere. By one count the U.S number […]

DATA FLASH: US INITIAL CLAIMS SOAR AS MILLIONS LAID OFF; MORE TO COME

–Initial Claims Jump by 3.001 Mln To Record 3.283 Mln By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – With millions laid off in the March 21 due to business shutdowns, initial jobless claims surged to a record high level in Thursday’s data, and are likely to go further as displaced workers sign up for benefits and any […]

DATA FLASH: US FEB DURABLE GOODS ORDERS +1.2%

–FHFA Home Price Index +0.3% By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – US durable goods new orders rose solidly in February, but the headline number was almost entirely driven by a transportation surge, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday. Orders rose by 1.2% (-0.6% expected) in February but were down 0.6% (-0.3% expected) when a 4.6% jump […]

WHITE HOUSE WATCH: ‘DIFFICULT TRADEOFFS;’ UNPRECEDENTED QE; ACCELERATING INFECTION

–US Fatalities Top 100 in One Day For First Time –Phase 3 Congressional Help Days Away At Best –Federal Reserve Goes Big, Bigger, Biggest By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – Americans who in even greater numbers are staying at home Monday were suddenly being asked to choose between two virus scenarios, one espoused by medical […]

FED’S EVANS: POLICY REVIEW INCLUDES MAXIMUM RATE OF EMPLOYMENT

By Suzanne Cosgrove CHICAGO (MaceNews) – Chicago Fed President Charles Evans Thursday said the Fed is continuing to review measures of its dual goals of price stability and maximum employment as part of an examination of its policy framework begun late last year. “One of the key questions facing us today is whether the economy […]

US JOBS RPT SHOWS WAGE GROWTH SLOWS EVEN AS UNEMP RATE IMPROVES

By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The September jobs report Friday, with 136,000 payroll slots added, was modestly positive for hiring and the 50-year-low unemployment rate of 3.5% was everything a labor market economist could hope for, yet there was a shadow cast overall, a slowing of wage growth that suggested prosperity is ebbing. Manufacturing […]

US JOBS REPORT A LITTLE SHORT OF BREATH BUT STILL JOGGING

–Workweek Rebounds; No Additional Wage Acceleration; Labor Participation Back to February By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The August jobs report Friday had some bright spots amid a somewhat subdued landscape, with the three-month average payrolls growth slowed to 156,000 even with a new and sizable injection of Census workers. The brightest spot was the […]

TECHNICAL NOTE, US REVISED 2ND QTR GDP – US BEA

WASHINGTON (MaceNews) –  The following is the Bureau of Economic Analysis technical note that accompanied Thursday’s revised report on second quarter gross domestic product: Sources of Revision to Real GDP Real GDP increased 2.0 percent (annual rate) in the second quarter of 2019, a downward revision of 0.1 percentage point from the “advance” estimate. The […]

FED’S POWELL: FIXATED ON DATA POINTS IN ‘EVENTFUL’ PRELUDE TO FOMC

WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – Key excerpts of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech Friday, “Challenges for Monetary Policy” with boldfaced emphasis added: People who live and work in low- and middle-income communities tell us that this job market is the best anyone can recall. We increasingly hear reports that employers are training workers who […]

JULY CPI’S POP QUICKLY KNOCKED INTO IRRELEVANCE AS MKTS MOVE

–July CPI Core +0.3%; Y/Y +2.2% By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – Tuesday’s CPI pop, an excursion a tenth higher than the inflation comfort level, had no sooner depressed stock futures than the White House signaled a major softening of the impending tariff attack on China, igniting an explosion of share prices and halting the […]