Preview: Japan Q1 GDP to Post 1st Contraction in 4 Quarters as High Costs Keep Consumers Wary, Exports Remain Flat amid Uncertain Global Growth Prospects
–Global Trade War May Lead to 2nd Straight GDP Slump in Q2 By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s gross domestic product for the January-March quarter is forecast to post its first contraction in four quarters, down a slight 0.1% on quarter, or an annualized 0.4%, in payback for a technical jump in net exports in […]
Japan Seeks to Tide Over Trade War by Shoring Up Consumption, Keeps Gradual Economic Recovery View Despite Mixed Business Sentiment, Rising Inflation Risks
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s government maintained its cautiously optimistic assessment for the eighth straight month, saying the economy is expected stay on a “modest recovery” track, but highlighted the growing uncertainty around the world triggered by the protectionist U.S. trade policy under President Trump. In its monthly report for April released Friday by […]
Japan’s Government Keeps Economic Recovery Scenario, Warns of Downside Risks Arising from High Costs of Living, Trump Tariffs
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s government maintained its cautiously optimistic assessment for the seventh straight month, saying the economy is expected to stay on a “modest recovery” track, but also warned about downside risks arising from high costs of living hurting consumption and the trade war launched by the Trump administration. In its monthly […]
Preview: Japan’s Wobbly 3rd Straight Economic Growth Seen Intact in Revised Q4 GDP Data but Sluggish Consumption, Exports Point to Flat Q1 Performance
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Lukewarm economic growth lingered during much of 2024 in Japan after three quarters of drops but consumption is chilled by high living costs and the outlook for the world’s top two economies is clouded by Trump tariffs, pointing to a flat performance in the first quarter of 2025, with the […]
Japan’s Government Keeps Economic Recovery Scenario Despite Headwinds of High Costs of Living, Trump Tariffs, Sluggish China Pickup
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s government maintained its cautiously optimistic assessment for the sixth straight month, saying the economy is expected to stay on a “modest recovery” track, overcoming the lingering headwinds of high domestic costs of living, the risk of a global trade war initiated by the Trump administration and wobbly Chinese growth. […]
Japan’s Government Still Sees Modest Economic Recovery Despite Sluggish Consumption, Flat Real Wage Growth Amid Food-Led Inflation
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s government maintained its overall assessment that the economy’s “modest recovery” is set to continue despite sluggish consumer spending and flat real wage growth amid high costs for food and other necessities. In its monthly report for December released Friday by the Cabinet Office, the government said the economy is […]
BOJ Governor Ueda: Japan Economy on Track Toward Higher Interest Rates but Central Bank Needs More Confidence in Sustained Wage Hikes
–Ueda: Bank May Get Enough Data in March or April to Decide on Next Rate Hike By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said Friday that the bank’s policymakers may receive clearer data and information in March or April that would allow them to decide confidently whether to go ahead with […]
Preview: Close to 50/50 Chance in Bank of Japan Conducting Its 3rd Rate Hike of Current Cycle This Week as Policymakers Measure Risks
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – The chance of the Bank of Japan board hiking its policy interest rate by another 25 basis points to 0.5% this week is close to 50/50 as the bank’s policymakers ponder various risks amid growing domestic and global uncertainties. One thing is certain. The bank is staying the course of […]
Japan Still Sees Modest Economic Recovery but Warns It Now Needs to Watch Future US Policy amid Headwinds of Inflation, Middle East Tensions, Weak Yen
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s government maintained its overall assessment that the economy’s “modest recovery” is set to continue thanks to wage hikes amid widespread labor shortages, but urged a close watch on the future U.S. government policy as well as lingering high costs for necessities, geopolitical risks and the weak yen. In its […]
Japan July Overall Household Spending Up Just 0.1% Y/Y, Core Reading Dips 0.8%; Air Conditioner Demand Strong but Too Hot to Stay Outdoors
–High Wage Hikes amid Labor Shortages Lead to 3rd Straight Rise in Real Average Household Income–Real Wages Up 0.4% Y/Y in July After Marking 1st Rise in 27 Months in June By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s real household spending posted its first year-over-year rise in three months in July but with a sluggish undertone […]