US December ISM Manufacturing Shows Signs of Pickup on Demand Side but Layoffs Continue Until Yearend
–ISM Manufacturing Index at 49.3 Vs. 48.4 in November, Well Above Median Forecast of 48.5–ISM’s Fiore: ‘We Are Concerned’ About Trump Tariff Threat as It Would Cause Supply Chain Confusion–Fiore: ISM Set to Rise Above Neutral Line of 50 in Q1, ‘If Not In January, Probably in February’–Fiore: Not Much Price Pressure; December CPI, PCE, […]
Japan’s Government Still Sees Modest Economic Recovery Despite Sluggish Consumption, Flat Real Wage Growth Amid Food-Led Inflation
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s government maintained its overall assessment that the economy’s “modest recovery” is set to continue despite sluggish consumer spending and flat real wage growth amid high costs for food and other necessities. In its monthly report for December released Friday by the Cabinet Office, the government said the economy is […]
BOJ Governor Ueda: Japan Economy on Track Toward Higher Interest Rates but Central Bank Needs More Confidence in Sustained Wage Hikes
–Ueda: Bank May Get Enough Data in March or April to Decide on Next Rate Hike By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said Friday that the bank’s policymakers may receive clearer data and information in March or April that would allow them to decide confidently whether to go ahead with […]
FOMC Cuts Funds Rate 25 BP; Strongly Hints at Rate-Cutting Pause
– Powell: After 100 BP of Cuts, Policy Rate Closer to Neutrality – Powell: Now Appropriate to Ease More Cautiously, Slowly By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Three months after it began a decisive easing of monetary policy, the Fed took a tentative step on Wednesday toward slowing or perhaps interrupting that process. Much as […]
Preview: Close to 50/50 Chance in Bank of Japan Conducting Its 3rd Rate Hike of Current Cycle This Week as Policymakers Measure Risks
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – The chance of the Bank of Japan board hiking its policy interest rate by another 25 basis points to 0.5% this week is close to 50/50 as the bank’s policymakers ponder various risks amid growing domestic and global uncertainties. One thing is certain. The bank is staying the course of […]
BofA Global Research Fund Manager Survey: US Growth Optimism, Fed Rate Cut Expectations Drive ‘Super Bullish’ Sentiment at Year-end
–US Stock Allocation Highest on Record –Cash Allocation at All-Time Lows, Triggers Contrarian Sell Signal, BOA Says By Vicki Schmelzer NEW YORK (MaceNews) – U.S. growth optimism and Fed rate cut expectations drove the “super-bullish” risk sentiment seen at year-end, according to BofA Global Research’s monthly fund manager survey, released Tuesday. A net 7% of […]
ISM: US Services Sector Expands for 5th Straight Month in November but Posts Sharp Slowdown on Trump Tariff Concerns, Slow Fed Rate Cuts
–ISM Services Index at 3-Month Low of 52.1 vs. 56.0 in October, Well Below Median Forecast 55.5–ISM’s Miller: Trump Tariff Complications Not Accelerating Ongoing Move Away from China–Miller: Higher Costs of Sourcing from Mexico Likely to Be Resolved Via North American Trade Pact As in Past By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Business activity in the […]
US November ISM Manufacturing in Contraction for 8th Straight Month but Shows Signs of Pickup in early 2025; Firms Look at Bright Side of Potentially Business Friendly New Administration
–ISM Manufacturing Index at 48.4 vs. 46.5 in October, Well above Median Forecast of 47.6–ISM’s Fiore: Concerns about Inflationary Fiscal Policy Not Going Away but Optimism over Trump Plans Kicks in–ISM’s Fiore: US Economy on Soft-Landing Course; Still Believes ISM Index Likely to Pick Up Above Neutral Line of 50 in Q1 of 2025 By […]
Japan Still Sees Modest Economic Recovery but Warns It Now Needs to Watch Future US Policy amid Headwinds of Inflation, Middle East Tensions, Weak Yen
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s government maintained its overall assessment that the economy’s “modest recovery” is set to continue thanks to wage hikes amid widespread labor shortages, but urged a close watch on the future U.S. government policy as well as lingering high costs for necessities, geopolitical risks and the weak yen. In its […]
ISM: US Services Sector Expands for 4th Straight Month in October on More Jobs but Surprise Index Rise Also Caused by Slower Deliveries in Wake of Hurricanes
–ISM Services Index at 56.0 Vs. 54.9 in September, Well Above Median Forecast 53.5 –ISM’s Miller: Index Likely to Slip Back to 53 or 54 in November as Impact of Hurricanes Subsides –Miller: Positive Comments Spreading to More Industries but Uncertainty over US Political Climate Lingers By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Business activity in the […]