US ISM Manufacturing Stays in Contraction in June as Uncertainty Over Trade Conflicts Keeps Firms on Sidelines, Leading to Weak Demand, More Layoffs
–ISM Manufacturing Index at 49.0 Vs. 48.5 in May, Consensus at 48.8–ISM’s Spence: Production Up but Still Fragile, New Orders Falling–Spence: Orders Unlikely to Pick Up Until Trade, Geopolitical Risks Wane By Max Sato (MaceNews) – U.S. manufacturing activity was in contraction for the fourth straight month in June as the uncertainty over protectionist U.S. […]
Preview: Bank of Japan Q2 Tankan to Show Business Sentiment Slipped as Trump Tariffs Hit Auto, Metal Industries, High Costs Slow Consumers Spending
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – The Bank of Japan’s quarterly Tankan business survey is forecast to show confidence was flat or deteriorated in most categories in the June quarter, hit by Trump tariffs on vehicles, metals and other goods, with automakers lowering export prices to pay for higher import costs for U.S. customers, according to […]
Japan Week Ahead: PM Ishiba in Rough Waters amid High Costs After Ruling LDP’s Tokyo Assembly Poll Setback Ahead of Upper House Election Next Month
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Here are the key Japanese economic and political events for the coming week following no change in the Bank of Japan’s policy interest rate and a slower tapering pace for the bank’s government bond purchases in fiscal 2026. The ruling Liberal Democratic Party suffered a setback in Sunday’s Tokyo assembly […]
BofA Global Research Fund Manager Survey: Global Sentiment Recovers as Trade/Recession Jitters Fade
— Sentiment Back at “pre-Liberation Day ‘Goldilocks bull’” Levels By Vicki Schmelzer NEW YORK (MaceNews) – Global investor sentiment recovered in June as trade and recession jitters faded further, according to BofA Global Research’s monthly fund manager survey, released Tuesday. Sentiment toward the global economy, recession and inflation was back at “pre-Liberation Day ‘Goldilocks bull’ […]
BofA Global Research Fund Manager Survey: Trade War Jitters Sends Global Growth Expectations To Record Low
— Global Recession Largest ‘Tail Risk’ in 15-year Survey History By Vicki Schmelzer NEW YORK (MaceNews) –Trade war jitters sent global growth expectations to a record low in April, according to BofA Global Research’s monthly fund manager survey, released Wednesday. At the same time, “trade war triggering a global recession” was viewed as the biggest […]
BofA Global Research Fund Manager Survey: Global Investor Sentiment Plunges as Macro Pessimism Surges
–US Equity Allocation Sees Biggest Monthly Drop on Record By Vicki Schmelzer NEW YORK (MaceNews) – A drop in expectations that the U.S. economy will outperform and rising worries about the global economy prompted a “bull crash” in global investor sentiment in March, according to BofA Global Research’s monthly fund manager survey, released Tuesday. When […]
TARIFFS STATE OF PLAY: Trump Tariffs Go Global – A Small Start Compared to What’s Coming
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The new worldwide 25% U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum Wednesday – with no exemptions – piled atop the now 20% levied on China goods, 22 days away from the start of the nation’s far bigger experiment in confrontational trade policy, “reciprocal tariffs.” As expected, retaliatory tariffs also began to accumulate, first […]
Bank of Canada Continues to Provide Measured Rate Relief Amid High Uncertainty over Growth, Inflation Triggered by Trade War
–BOC Trims Policy Rate By 25 Basis Points To 2.75% in 7th Straight Rate Cut as Widely Expected–Governor Macklem: Governing Council Will Proceed ‘Carefully’ with Any Further Changes to Policy Rate–Macklem: Council Didn’t Seriously Consider 50-Basis Point Cut Due to Uncertainty Over When and How Much Trade War Will Boost Prices–BOC Surveys: Threats of New […]
ISM: US Services Sector Expands for 8th Straight Month in February While Concerns Over Trump Tariffs Darken Outlook
–ISM Services Index at 53.5 in February Vs. 52.8 in January, Above Median Forecast 52.7–ISM’s Miller: Services PMI Has Been Trending Down but More Stable Now, Points to Sustained Growth on Year–Miller: Jump in ISM February Manufacturing Prices Paid Index Amid Higher Commodities Markets Not Yet Feeding Through to Services Prices By Max Sato (MaceNews) […]
TARIFFS STATE OF PLAY: Confusion as Tariffs and Tariff Threats Multiply
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – As one round of tariffs took effect Tuesday and more were threatened, rampant uncertainty permeated plunging U.S. stock markets while interest rates continued to dramatically ease. Analysts found themselves giving contradictory assessments on the business channels as the probabilities for more Federal Reserve rate cuts this year were coupled with dire predictions […]