FED’S BULLARD: NEED TO WAIT, SEE IF MORE EASING NEEDED

By Steven K. Beckner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard said Tuesday the Fed “took out insurance” against trade-related risks to the economy by cutting interest rates last week and must now determine if more credit easing is needed.. In cutting rates, Bullard told the National Economics Club the central […]

FED’S BRAINARD AS STOCKS PLUNGE: ‘COMMITTED TO SUSTAINING THE EXPANSION

By Denny Gulino KANSAS CITY (MaceNews) – Federal Reserve Gov. Lael Brainard, as the Dow industrials were plunging to a loss of more than 800 points Monday, reiterated that the Fed “is committed to sustaining the expansion” and that the market developments are bineg monitored closely for any implications for future policy. Answering questions from […]

JULY JOBS RPT HO MUM; WAITING FOR CHINA COUNTERPUNCH

–No Turnaround in Year’s Worsening Trade Deficit Trend –Treasury 10-Year Keeps 1.88% Yield, Cut By New Tariff Threat By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – July’s moderate increase in payrolls reported Friday – 164,000 – was balanced by a cutback in hours and no acceleration in sub-par wage growth, headlining a U.S. jobs report overshadowed by […]

FED’S POWELL VAGUE ABOUT WHAT HAPPENS NEXT

–A Quarter-Point Cut and Then Maybe Another One – But Not a ‘Long’ Series By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell Wednesday said the day’s first rate cut in a decade is not necessarily the opening gun in an extended series but also not necessarily the only one, depending on whether […]

FOMC DELIVERS ITS QTR POINT CUT DESPITE ‘RISING’ ECONOMY

WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The Federal Open Market Committee Wednesday delivered a bare-bones statement that aside from the expected quarter-point rate cut information contained less than usual characterizations of the economy, other than activity is “rising,” the labor market continues to be strong and inflation remains below target. The one additional nugget was that the balance […]

FOMC BEGINS WITH CASE FOR RATE CUT STILL NOT CLEAR CUT

–The Boeing 737 MAX Rate Cut? By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – If the Federal Open Market Committee wanted some cover to back out of a rate cut Wednesday it could look no farther than toward the Treasury Department which Monday declared, “Downside risks in the second half of 2019 appear to be lessening.” Of […]

US 2ND QTR GDP: TECHNICAL NOTE EXCERPTS

WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The following are excerpts from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis technical notes which accompany Friday’s report on second-quarter GDP: GDP increased 2.1 percent (annual rate) in the second quarter of 2019, following an increase of 3.1percent in the first. The increase in second quarter real GDP primarily reflected increases in consumer […]

FED’S BEIGE BK: ‘MODEST PACE’ WITH SOME STAGNATION

–No Growth Reported for Chicago, Cleveland Districts. –Some Manufacturers, Information Firms in Northeast Cut Jobs WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The Federal Reserve’s “Beige Book” summary Wednesday of economic activity through July 8 showed “modest” advances along with stagnation in some Districts, with an overall reading that was positive although little changed. Compiled by the San Francisco […]

US JUNE PAYROLLS +224K, CONFOUNDING FORECASTERS AND IMPERILING RATE CUT

By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) –  The carefully wrought July rate-cut scenario is now challenged by the blockbuster 224,000 surprise payrolls total for June, with Friday’s report pitting economic pessimists against prospects for renewed strength for the longest U.S expansion in history. Many forecasters who were confounded by a return to 200,000 plus payrolls growth […]

FED’S MESTER: U.S. Q2 SLOWDOWN NOT SUFFICIENT TO TRIGGER RATE CUT

By Laurie Laird LONDON (MaceNews) – While U.S. growth appears to have weakened over the second quarter, the current slowdown is insufficient to trigger a reduction in interest rates, according to Cleveland Federal Reserve President Loretta Mester. “Given the current level of the funds rate and my current baseline outlook,” interest rates represent an “appropriate […]