FOMC Lifts Off from Zero with 25bp Rate Hike; 6 More Projected for 2022
– Powell Says FOMC May Move Faster If Needed To Reduce Inflation – Says Funds Rate Could Go ‘Beyond’ Downwardly Revised ‘Neutral’ Rate – Balance Sheet Reduction Plan Could Be Announced As Soon As May Meeting By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – After holding short-term interest rates near zero for two years to support a […]
FOMC: Qtr Point Hike As Expected; Few Specifics on Future Action
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The Federal Open Market Committee Wednesday fulfilled expectations for a quarter-point fed funds rate hike, the first such since 2018, accompanied by a pledged to begin pulling back Treasury and Agency securities holdings “at a coming meeting.” The text follows: Indicators of economic activity and employment have continued to strengthen. Job gains […]
ECB Cuts Asset Purchases, Could Exit QE in Q3
— Rate Hikes to Come ‘Some Time After’ Asset Purchases End LONDON (MaceNews) – The European Central Bank surprised forecasters, announcing a reduction in asset purchases over the second quarter and raising the possibility of a rate hike this year, following the conclusion of Thursday’s governing council meeting. Purchases under the long-running Asset Purchase Programme will […]
Japan Q4 GDP Growth Unexpectedly Revised Down on Softer Consumption 
— Capex Shows Slight Downward Revision Vs. Projected Upward Revision — Public Works Revised Down As Expected, Its Negative Contribution Unrevised — Q1 GDP Growth Seen Slower Amid Covid Restrictions, Rising Costs, Ukraine By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s economic rebound in the October-December quarter was unexpectedly revised down slightly as consumer spending turned out […]
FOMC Set to Proceed ‘Carefully’ on Road to Tighter Monetary Policy, But Ultimate Destination Unclear
– Must Decide Pace of Rate Hikes, Where Neutral Is, and Whether Neutral Is High Enough – Fed Getting Closer to Balance Sheet Reduction But Funds Rate Primary Policy Tool By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – It seemed virtually a foregone conclusion that the Federal Reserve would start raising short-term interest rates in mid-March after Jerome Powell’s […]
Fed’s Powell Will Ask for 25 bp Rate Hike March 16; First Of ‘Series’ of Rate Hikes
– But FOMC Will Withdraw Monetary Stimulus ‘Carefully’ To Avoid ‘Adding Uncertainty’ – Ultimate Aim is ‘Neutral’ Rate of 2-2.5%; Perhaps Higher; Must Act ‘With Care’ By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will not prevent the Federal Reserve from beginning to raise interest rates in two weeks, but it will make the Fed more cautious about withdrawing monetary […]
Bank of Canada Hikes Policy Rate To 0.50% From Record Low 0.25% To Fight Inflation
–BOC Keeps Reinvesting in Government Bonds on Its Balance Sheet –BOC: Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine ‘A Major New Source of Uncertainty’–BOC: Expect Further Rate Hikes As Economic Growth, Inflation Pressures Continue –BOC: To Consider Start of Quantitative Tightening Based on Economic Assessment By Max Sato (MaceNews) – The Bank of Canada on Wednesday raised its […]
Japan February Tokyo Core CPI Rise Picks Up From January on Utilities, Processed Food
–Hotel Fees Slower After 2021 Double-Digit Gains Over 2020 Subsidized Discounts–Utilities Leading Energy Higher; Durable Goods Down As Stay-at-Home Demand Wanes–Most of Base Effect in Mobile Phone User Fee Cuts To Last Through March By Mas Sato (MaceNews) – The year-on-year rise in consumer prices in Tokyo, the leading indicator of the national average, picked […]
NY Fed’s Williams Nixes 50 BP March Hike in Federal Funds Rate
– ‘No Compelling Argument’ For Big Move In the Beginning of Firming Process – Affirms Market Expectations of ‘More Normal’ Funds Rate of 2-2.5% by end 2023 – MBS Sales Should Only Be Considered ‘Down The Road’ – ‘Confident’ Fed ‘Can Manage the Soft Landing’ By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – New York Federal Reserve […]
Japan January Core CPI Rise Shrinks as Hotel, Insurance Upward Base Effects Wane
— Both Core and Total CPI Measures Mark 5th Straight Y/Y Gains on Energy — Utilities Push Up Overall Energy Costs; Durable Goods Prices Slide By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Consumer prices in Japan posted the fifth straight year-on-year rise in January but the pace of increase decelerated sharply as the 2021 base effects of […]