UPDATE: Fed Officials Take Cautious Approach to Further Rate Cuts As Late Jan FOMC Nears
– Harker Still Sees Rates Heading Lower; But Now ‘Appropriate To Take A Pause’ – Collins Calls for ‘Patient Approach to Policy’; Cuts Could Go Faster or Slower – Schmid: Funds Rate May Already Be ‘Neutral;’ Favors Further Balance Sheet Shrinkage – Bowman Urges ‘Caution;’ Monetary Policy Not As Restrictive As Some Think By Steven […]
Japan Still Sees Modest Economic Recovery but Warns It Now Needs to Watch Future US Policy amid Headwinds of Inflation, Middle East Tensions, Weak Yen
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s government maintained its overall assessment that the economy’s “modest recovery” is set to continue thanks to wage hikes amid widespread labor shortages, but urged a close watch on the future U.S. government policy as well as lingering high costs for necessities, geopolitical risks and the weak yen. In its […]
Japan Government Slightly Upgrades Its View on Economic Recovery after BOJ Conducts 2nd Rate Hike in July
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s government upgraded its overall economic assessment for the first time in six months, noting consumer spending is supported by wage hikes and temporary income tax credits, but the change in wording is subtle and it continues to say the economy is recovering “moderately.” In its monthly report for August […]
BofA Global Research Fund Manager Survey: Global Investors Buy Bonds on Declining Global Growth Expectations
–US Recession Concern Top Tail Risk –Sixty percent of Managers Expect Four Or More Fed Cuts in Next 12 Months By Vicki Schmelzer NEW YORK (MaceNews) – Global investors made a beeline into bonds in July, driven by declining world growth expectations, according to BofA Global Research’s monthly fund manager survey, released Wednesday. Jitters about […]
Japan Government Keeps Its View on Economic Recovery amid Wage Hikes, Warns of Drag from High US, European Rates, China’s Real-Estate Woes
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s government maintained its overall assessment that the economy is recovering “moderately” and is likely to stay on course as many firms are raising wages at a higher pace to secure workers and although exports are now largely flat. In its monthly report released Thursday by the Cabinet Office, the […]
Bank of Canada Q2 Survey: Business Outlook Remains Pessimistic amid Weak Demand, High Interest Rates, Leading to Slower Capex
Bank of Canada survey shows inflation expectations down
Italy Eyes More Medium-Long Bonds to Lengthen Debt Life – Sources
According to Rome’s government that has carried out several surveys, longer maturities appeal to Italian families as they tend to have lots of savings they prefer to invest in long term investments, and trust the state to hold their money more than banks. “The era of zero rates is over, which means that the cost […]
US June ISM Manufacturing in Contraction for 3rd Straight Month as Demand Remains Weak amid High Interest Rates
–ISM Manufacturing Index Dips to 48.5 from 48.7 in May, Below Median Forecast of 49.1–ISM’s Fiore: Biggest Concern in June Report is over Falling Production–Fiore: Employment Unlikely to Expand Without Significant Pickup in Demand–Fiore: Manufacturing Still ‘Stable’ During Summer Months When Activity Slows Down By Max Sato (MaceNews) – U.S. manufacturing activity was in contraction […]
Japan May Export Rise Led by Automobiles, Semiconductors as in April; Trade Balance in Deficit for 2nd Straight Month
–Imports Up on Higher Demand for Crude Oil, Products, Computers; Chips Down–Exports to China Post 6th Straight Y/Y Rise, Picking Up from Last Year’s Slump–Exports to US Remain Robust; Those to EU Mark 2nd Straight Y/Y Slip By Max Sato (MaceNews) –Japanese export values rose 13.5% on year in May for the sixth straight increase, […]
INTERVIEW: Ex-BOJ Policymaker Kiuchi Sees Flexible JGB Purchase Program as Fine-Tuning Tool, Expects Only Gradual Rate Hikes to Below 1%
By Max Sato TOKYO (MaceNews) – The Bank of Japan is likely to maintain its “flexible” Japanese government bond purchase program as a “fine-tuning tool” so it can respond to both upside and downside risks to growth and inflation, instead of clearly reducing JGB buying from the current monthly pace of about ¥6 trillion, Takahide […]