FED’S POWELL WARNS OF DANGERS OF LONG SHALLOW RECOVERY

–Emergency Aid So Far May Be Only the Beginning –‘Recovery May Take Some Time to Gather Momentum’ — ‘Additional Fiscal Support Could Be Costly’ –Negative Rates ‘Not Something That We’re  Looking At.” By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The battle of recovery narratives – swift and sharp versus shallow and long – Wednesday saw one […]

ST. LOUIS FED’S BULLARD: US ECONOMIC REBOUND LIKELY IN 2H; NO NEGATIVE RATES

NEW YORK (MaceNews) – After its record drop in the second quarter, the US economy is likely to see a record rebound in the third quarter, St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard said Tuesday. Bullard, answering questions during a webcast, said a record rebound in the third quarter is likely, a “big plus number,” […]

DATA FLASH: US APRIL PAYROLLS PLUNGE 20.5 MLN, UNEMP RATE 14.7%

–Virus  Impact to Remain for Several Mos, Changes Likely to Be Smaller–Hourly Earnings Surge 4.7% , Most Job Losses in Lower-Incomes  By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The April employment report Friday represented the full effect of the COVID-19 shutdown with payrolls posting the largest decline on record and the unemployment rate rising to the […]

ECB SEES POSSIBLE 15% SLUMP IN Q2; LEAVES RATES ON HOLD

By Laurie Laird LONDON (MaceNews) –  The European Central Bank expanded its emergency liquidity program following Thursday’s governing council meeting, but declined to reduce interest rates, despite the eurozone suffering its biggest-ever downturn in the first quarter. “We are facing an economic contraction of a magnitude and speed … unprecedented in peacetime,” said ECB President […]

DATA FLASH: US APRIL CONFIDENCE FELL FURTHER, BUT EXPECTATIONS IMPROVE

By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The Conference Board’s U.S. consumer confidence index Tuesday fell to a reading of 86.9 in April from a downward revised 118.8 reading in March, as business and employment conditions deteriorated rapidly due to the COVID-19 shutdown. And while the assessment of current conditions posted their largest one-month decline in […]

BOE’S BROADBENT DOWNPLAYS PROSPECTS OF UK RECOVERY IN H2

— Sees OBR forecast of 35% decline in output in Q2 as “not unreasonable”— Decision on expanded QE expected early next month By Laurie Laird LONDON (MaceNews) – A Bank of England deputy governor Monday endorsed a grim forecast of a massive economic contraction in the second quarter, but warned that a rapid recovery may […]

DATA FLASH: US INITIAL CLAIMS CONTINUE TO PILE UP; MARCH HOUSING STARTS PLUNGE

–Initial Claims Level Fell By 1.370 Mln to 5.245 Mln, Continuing Claims Spike–Housing Starts Pace Slows to 1.216 Mln SAAR, Permits Slow to 1.353 Mln–April Philadelphia Fed Index Drops To -56.6, Echoing Drop in Empire Survey By Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The growth rate of initial claims slowed further in the April 11 week […]

BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH FUND MANAGER SURVEY: RECESSION FEARS DOMINATE

–In April, Global Investors Extremely Pessimistic Re World Growth By Vicki Schmelzer NEW YORK (MaceNews) – Recession fears dominated in April, with global investors extremely pessimistic about world growth prospects in the wake of the spread of COVID-19, according to the findings of BofA Global Research’s monthly fund manager survey, released Tuesday. A record net […]