Japan Still Sees Gradual Economic Recovery but Warns Some Uncertainty over Trade Deals lingers, Downgrading Its View on Exporter Profits
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s government continues to believe that the domestic economy is expected stay on a “modest recovery” track after top negotiators from Tokyo and Washington have worked out some details of their bilateral trade deal reached last month but also warned that uncertainty over global growth is here to stay for […]
Fed Officials Still Divided, Unsure About When and How Much To Cut Interest Rates
By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Federal Reserve officials have continued this week to muse about cutting interest rates for the first time since December when the Fed’s rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee meets in mid- September, but the FOMC remains divided and unsure. Despite an uptick in inflation, labor market worries have come to […]
US TARIFFS STATE OF PLAY: New Reciprocal Tariffs Don’t Dispel Uncertainty, Confusion
–Trump Fires Head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics because of alleged manipulation By Denny Gulino WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – With new reciprocal levies raising America’s average tariff rate to above 18% and the latest jobs and ISM reports raising stagflation fears, the overall era of uncertainty seems to have intensified, not diminished. The environment of […]
TRANSCRIPT: Fed’s Powell Stays Away From Promises of a September Rate Cut
.WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The following is a rough transcript of Wednesday afternoon’s post-FOMC meeting news conference with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell: Despite elevated uncertainty, the economy is in a solid position. The unemployment rate remains low and the labor market is at or near maximum employment. Inflation has been running somewhat above our 2% […]
BofA Global Research Fund Manager Survey: Investors Bullish Despite Tariff Uncertainty
By Vicki Schmelzer NEW YORK (MaceNews) – Global investors maintained a bullish bent in July despite ongoing uncertainty about tariffs, according to BofA Global Research’s monthly fund manager survey, released Tuesday. A net 31% of those polled this month looked for a weaker global economy in the coming months. This compared to a net 46% […]
Fed’s Powell Allows For Rate Cuts ‘Sooner Rather Than Later” – If Inflation Behaves
– Repeats FOMC Can Afford to Wait and Be Careful Amid Great Uncertainty – Says FOMC Must Be ‘Careful”; Doesn’t Need To Be ‘In Any Rush’ By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated his belief that the Fed can afford to wait for more evidence on inflation and labor market […]
FOMC: MINIMAL CHANGE IN OUTLOOK; STILL SEE TWO RATE CUTS THIS YEAR BUT SOMEWHAT LESS SO
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The Federal Open Market Committee Wednesday made only minuscule adjustments to its outlook, still anticipating two rate cuts this year with slightly less enthusiasm. The Fed;s “dot plot” had seven participants seeing no rate moves this year while eight saw two rate cuts. Another two saw one rate cut. The FOMC’s economic […]
US ISM Manufacturing Stays in Contraction in May as Trade Rows Keep Outlook Uncertain, Causing Supply Chain Chaos
–ISM Manufacturing Index at 48.5 Vs. 48.7 in April, Below Consensus at 49.1–ISM New Chair Spence: Agree with Predecessor Fiore that US Economy Not Yet in Recession but PMI Moving in That Direction–Spence: Manufacturing Sector Will Continue Struggling Until There is More Certainty Over US Trade Policy–Spence: Layoffs Main Option for Firms as They Reduce […]
TRANSCRIPT: Fed’s Powell Says Wait and See Effects of Tariffs on Inflation, Unemployment
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell Wednesday said in several different ways the Fed has to wait and see whatever effects on inflation and unemployment come from whatever the ultimate tariff rates are imposed on China and other countries – and beyond that, he said very little more. A transcript of the post-FOMC […]
FOMC Stands Pat, Sees Risks Up for Both Unemployment, Inflation
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The Federal Open Market Committee Wednesday, as expected, decided to maintain its policy rate and the only notable addition to the policy statement was that the Fed sees “the risks of higher unemployment and higher inflation have risen.” The policy statement follows: Although swings in net exports have affected the data, recent […]