US ISM Manufacturing Remains in Contraction in April as Trump Tariffs Choke Demand, Prompting Firms to Slash Output, Shed Payrolls amid High Costs
–ISM Manufacturing Index at 48.7 vs. 49.0 in March, Above Consensus (47.9)–ISM’s Fiore: Tariff Concerns Account for 82% of April Survey Comments vs. 67% in March, Overshadowing Any Kind of Demand Comment–Fiore: Don’t Think US in Recession but PMI Indicates Moving in That Direction–Fiore: Not a Tariff Fan; Firms Won’t Invest, US Consumers Will Pay […]
Preview: Japan Q1 GDP to Post 1st Contraction in 4 Quarters as High Costs Keep Consumers Wary, Exports Remain Flat amid Uncertain Global Growth Prospects
–Global Trade War May Lead to 2nd Straight GDP Slump in Q2 By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s gross domestic product for the January-March quarter is forecast to post its first contraction in four quarters, down a slight 0.1% on quarter, or an annualized 0.4%, in payback for a technical jump in net exports in […]
Canadian Prime Minister Carney Leads Ruling Liberal Party to Minority Win in Tight Race with Conservatives in Snap Elections
–Former Central Banker Calls for Unity to Fight Threat to Canada’s Sovereignty By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney is projected to have led his ruling Liberal Party to a slight minority victory in general elections on Monday, defeating the main opposition Conservative Party by promising to build Canada into the strongest […]
Japan Finance Minister Kato: Didn’t Discuss FX Levels, Framework with US Counterpart Treasury Sec Bessent
–BOJ Governor Ueda: To Hike Interest Rates Gradually If Outlook for 2% inflation Sets in By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato told a news conference on Thursday in Washington that he and his U.S. counterpart didn’t discuss guiding the currency market toward a weaker dollar against yen to help trim the […]
FED’S BEIGE BOOK: Analysts See ‘Pre-Downturn’ Assessment of Tepid Economy Coast to Coast
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The Federal Reserve’s latest “Beige Book” survey Wednesday of economic conditions in all 12 Fed Districts reflected widespread uncertainty because of shifting trade policy, softening consumer spending and worsening outlooks that hinted at an economy on the precipice of a downturn. The following is the national summary and District-by-District snapshots from the […]
Japan Seeks to Tide Over Trade War by Shoring Up Consumption, Keeps Gradual Economic Recovery View Despite Mixed Business Sentiment, Rising Inflation Risks
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s government maintained its cautiously optimistic assessment for the eighth straight month, saying the economy is expected stay on a “modest recovery” track, but highlighted the growing uncertainty around the world triggered by the protectionist U.S. trade policy under President Trump. In its monthly report for April released Friday by […]
Bank of Canada Keeps Policy Rate at 2.75%, to ‘Proceed Cautiously’ While Watching Both Upside, Downside Inflation Risks from Trade War
–Governor Macklem: To Remain Less Forward-Looking Than Usual ‘Until Situation Is Clearer’–Mackem: Prepared to Act ‘Decisively’ If Information Points Clearly in One Direction–Macklem: Governing Council Discussed Both Holding Rates Steady and Cutting by 25 Basis Points as in March–Senior Deputy Governor Rogers: Some Are More Optimist about Trade Rows Being Resolved but There Is ‘Clear […]
Fed’s Powell: Economy, Labor Market ‘Still Solid’ But Outlook ‘Highly Uncertain’
– Tariffs May Boost Both Inflation, Unemployment; Give Fed ‘Difficult’ Choices – FOMC May Have to Make ‘Difficult Judgment’ in Balancing Inflation, Job Goals – Fed Chief Refrains from Saying FOMC Is In ‘No Hurry’ By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Wednesday the economy and labor market remain “solid” […]
BofA Global Research Fund Manager Survey: Trade War Jitters Sends Global Growth Expectations To Record Low
— Global Recession Largest ‘Tail Risk’ in 15-year Survey History By Vicki Schmelzer NEW YORK (MaceNews) –Trade war jitters sent global growth expectations to a record low in April, according to BofA Global Research’s monthly fund manager survey, released Wednesday. At the same time, “trade war triggering a global recession” was viewed as the biggest […]
Fed Officials Keeping Monetary Policy Sidelined in Face of Tariff War
– Barkin: Economy ‘In Very Dense Fog’; Fed Must Handle With ‘Judgment’ – Kashkari: Bar for Rate Cuts Has Risen Due to Inflation Concerns – Musalem: Bar for Cutting Rates Higher As Both Inflation, Recession Risks Up – Daly: Fed Must ‘Tread Slowly and Tread Carefully” By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Federal Reserve officials […]