Fed’s Powell Declares ‘The Time Has Come’ to Lower Federal Funds Rate
– Leaves Timing and Amount of Rate Cuts In Doubt – Says Inflation Risks Receding While Employment Risks Rising. By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell left no doubt Friday that he and his fellow monetary policymakers will begin lowering interest rates next month, but was far less clear about how […]
Japan July Core CPI Annual Rate on Gradual Uptrend at 2.7% Vs. 2.6% in June as Government Ends 18-Month Utility Subsidies, Heat Wave Boosts Air Conditioner Price
–Total CPI Y/Y Rise Steady at 2.8%; Fresh Food Markups Ease After Recent Spike–Core-Core CPI (Ex-Fresh Food, Energy) Up 1.9% Vs. 2.2% amid Easing Pressure from Processed Food Costs By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Consumer inflation in Japan continued accelerating slightly in the core reading in July after the government ended 18-month long utility subsidies […]
Japan July Export Rise Led by Semiconductors, Autos from US, Asia, Offsetting Slow Shipments to Europe; Trade Deficit Wider Than Expected
–Imports Surge on Drugs, Computers, Crude Oil as Relatively Weak Yen Keeps Costs High–Exports to China Post 8th Straight Y/Y Rise Following Last Year’s Slump–Exports to US Remain Robust; Those to EU Mark 4th Straight Y/Y Decline By Max Sato (MaceNews) –Japanese export values rose 10.3% for the eighth straight year-over-year increase in July, led […]
Japan June Core Machine Orders Post 1st M/M Rise in 3 Months as Computer Demand from Various Industries Remains Solid
–Q2 Core Orders -0.2% Q/Q, Easily Beating -1.6% Official Forecast as Largely Expected–Q3 Core Orders Seen Up Modest 0.2% Q/Q, Indicating Uncertainty over Global Growth; June Core Orders Mark 1st Y/Y Drop in 4 Months–Cabinet Office Keeps View After Last Month’s Downgrade: Pickup in Machine Orders Pausing By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japanese core machinery […]
Japan Q2 GDP Rebounds on Resumed Auto Output, Wage Hikes; Heat Wave Also Boosts Consumer Demand for Air Conditioners, Summer Goods
–Q2 GDP +0.8% Q/Q, +3.1% Annualized, Above Median Forecasts of +0.6%, +2.3%–Domestic Demand Pushes Up GDP by 0.9 Point, Net Exports Trim Growth by 0.1 Point By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s gross domestic product for the April-June quarter posted a stronger-than-expected rebound after suffering its first contraction in two quarters in January-March, up a […]
Preview: Japan Q2 GDP to Post Modest Rebound After Slumping in Q1 but Consumption Remains Sluggish amid High Costs
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s gross domestic product for the April-June quarter is forecast to post a modest rebound after suffering its first contraction in two quarters in January-March, up 0.6% on quarter, or an annualized 2.3%, as consumption and business investment picked up from the drag of suspended output at Toyota group factories […]
Japan PM Kishida Says He Will Not Seek Re-Election at LDP Leadership Convention Next Month, Hoping to Calm Voter Rage Over Political Funding Scandal
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida on Wednesday announced that he will not seek re-election at the Liberal Democratic Party leadership convention in late September, taking the blame for widespread political funding scandals at the ruling party, a key factor behind sluggish voter support for the administration. Kishida, 67, will step […]
BofA Global Research Fund Manager Survey: Global Investors Buy Bonds on Declining Global Growth Expectations
–US Recession Concern Top Tail Risk –Sixty percent of Managers Expect Four Or More Fed Cuts in Next 12 Months By Vicki Schmelzer NEW YORK (MaceNews) – Global investors made a beeline into bonds in July, driven by declining world growth expectations, according to BofA Global Research’s monthly fund manager survey, released Wednesday. Jitters about […]
Japan June Producer Prices Up 3.0% Y/Y As Expected After 2.9% Rise in June; Utility Subsidies End, Global Demand for Lumber, Steel Picks Up Amid Rising Concerns Over Chinese Recovery
–Import Costs High as Yen Stayed Weak Before Firming on Stealth MOF Intervention at End-July, Fears of Faster BOJ Rate Hikes—Producer Inflation Remains Below Recent Peak of 10.6% in December 2022–Producer Prices Up 0.3% M/M on Utilities, Farm Produce, Summer Beverages, Cars By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Producer inflation in Japan continued accelerating to 3.0% […]
Fed Officials Remain Hesitant To Back Aggressive Rate Cuts Despite Weaker Job Data
– Consensus for 25 bp Cut in September Seemingly Intact, But Early or Larger Cut Doubtful By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – When a disappointing July employment report and other worrisome economic indicators triggered a Wall Street sell-off, speculation mounted that the Federal Reserve would have to play catch-up and ease monetary policy more aggressively […]