Japan Government Maintains Gradual Economic Recovery Outlook, Warns about Rising Costs of Living amid Lingering Iran War
–Government Also Watching Effects of Powerful August Earthquake in Southwestern Region, Damage from Rain Storms Battering Japan Since Last Month By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s government is sticking to its long-held conviction that the moderate economic recovery will continue in the near term, but also warned about rising costs under the protracted Iran […]
Preview: Forecasters See Japanese Industrial Production Bouncing Back in August Report
Wednesday, Sept 30, 2026 0850 JST (2350 GMT/1950 EDT Tuesday, Sept 29) The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry releases August industrial production, as well as the outlook for September and October. Mace News median: +1.7% m/m (range: +0.3% to +2.0%) vs. July revised to -0.2% from +0.1%; +7.0% y/y (range: +5.6% to +7.4%) vs. […]
Preview: Forecasters See Japan Sept Tankan Showing Large Manufacturers’ Sentiment at +25, Highest Since 2017
By Chikafumi Hodo TOKYO (MaceNews) – The Bank of Japan’s September Tankan business sentiment survey among large manufacturers is expected to climb to the highest level in nearly nine years as the rapid development of artificial intelligence has steadily boosted demand for semiconductors, data centers and other AI-related sectors, supporting an improvement in large manufacturers’ […]
NABE Survey Shows Shift to Expectations of Fed Tightening Among Business Economists
By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – The mood of business economists has shifted dramatically, swinging from hope for monetary easing to expectations of more monetary tightening, according to a survey by the National Association for Business Economics released Monday. The NABE’s semi-annual survey of its 151 members shows a substantial proportion of them considering both […]
Japan Week Ahead: Tokyo CPI Data Expected to See Signs of Growing Upside Risks to Inflation, AI Projects Boon for Factory Output but Damper for Consumers
–BOJ Tankan Survey to Show AI Boom Lifting Manufacturer Sentiment, High Costs Making Services Sector Slightly Less Confident By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Behind the Bank of Japan’s accelerated pace of interest rate increases this month were creeping upside risks to inflation as the lingering Iran war and the stubbornly weak yen threaten to keep […]
Fed Officials Forewarn More ‘Pain’ For the Economy After Initial Rate Hike
– Goolsbee: Getting Inflation Down to 2% Target ‘Won’t Be Painless’ – Barkin: Inflation ‘Troublemaker’ Will Need More Than One ‘Talking-To’ – Paulson: ‘Recalibration’ Brought FFR ‘Closer’ But More Hikes Likely Needed – Williams: ‘Reasonable’ To Expect More Fed Tightening – Collins: Upside Inflation Risks Worsening; Need ‘More Restrictive’ Stance By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) […]
Japan Week Ahead: Forex Trading in Holiday Week Seen Choppy, Cautious amid Signs MOF Ready to Intervene to Prop Up Yen After BOJ Rate Hike Did Little to Help
–Data Calendar Thin Until Sept. 28 Week When BOJ’s Tankan Survey Set to Show Manufacturer Sentiment Improved Sharply in Q3 on Global AI Boom By Max Sato (MaceNews) – The coming week is quieter on the economic policy and data fronts after the Bank of Japan followed up on its June rate hike on Friday […]
Bank of Japan Hikes Policy Interest Rate to 1.25% from 1% in 7 to 2 Vote, Repeats It Will Continue to Raise Rate as Part of Normalization
By Max Sato –BOJ Points to Upside Risks to its Inflation Outlook, Notes Financial Conditions Expected to Remain Supportive to Economic Activity (MaceNews) – The Bank of Japan’s nine-member board on Friday decided to raise the target for the overnight interest rate to 1.25% from 1% in a 7 to 2 vote, warning that elevated […]
FOMC Hikes Funds Rate 25 BP For First Time In 3 Years To 3.75-4.0% Range
– Warsh: Strong Economy, High Inflation Made FOMC ‘Remove Dose of Accommodation’ – Warsh: Rate Hike Should Ensure ‘Timelier Return’ to Fed’s 2% Inflation Target – Warsh Refuses to ‘Prejudge’ Future FOMC Actions; No ‘Forward Guidance’ – FOMC Participants Project Funds Rate At 4.1% end ‘26; 4.1% end ‘27; 3.9% End ‘28 – PCE Inflation […]
FOMC: Raises Fed Funds Rate By Quarter Point As Expected; Dots Suggest One More Rate Hike
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The following is the extremely brief policy statement by the Federal Open Market Committee Wednesday afternoon: The Federal Open Market Committee approved the following statement for release by a 12 – 0 vote: The Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage pointto 3-3/4to 4 […]