Japan Q3 GDP Seen Slightly Up as Capex Offsets First Private Consumption Drop in 10 Quarters
Consensus outlook for Mace News Monday, November 16 0850 JST (2350 GMT/1850 EST, Sunday, November 15) Cabinet Office releases preliminary GDP for July-September 2026.Mace News median: +0.1% q/q (range -0.1% to +0.4%) vs. Q2 revised +0.4%; +0.3% annualized (range -0.3% to +1.5%) vs. Q2 revised +1.4%; +1.2% y/y (range +1.1% to +1.5%) vs. Q2 revised […]
Japan Government Keeps Gradual Economic Recovery Outlook, Continues to Warn about Inflationary Impact of Lingering Mideast Conflict
–Government Upgrades Its View on Business Sentiment After Upbeat Q3 Tankan Survey, Downgrades Assessment of Exports Amid Sliding Volumes By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s government continues to see a moderate economic recovery ahead and repeated its warning about the lingering Mideast conflict that has kept global energy and transportation costs high. In its monthly […]
Preview: Japan Q2 GDP Expected To Be Revised Up Slightly on Stronger Capital Spending, Weak Consumption
Tuesday, Sept 8 0850 JST (2350 GMT/1950 EDT Sunday, June 7) Cabinet Office releases the revised GDP for April-June 2026.Mace News median: +0.4% q/q (range +0.3% to +0.7%) vs. Q2 prelim +0.3%; +1.6% annualized (range +1.3% to +2.7%) vs. Q2 prelim +1.1%; +0.9% y/y (range +0.8% to +0.9%) vs. Q2 prelim +0.7% By Chikafumi Hodo […]
Japan Week Ahead: July Data to Show Mixed Start to Q3 after BOJ Deputy Governor Himino Downplays Weak Q2 GDP Growth, Keeps September Rate Hike Talk Alive
–July Factory Output to Show Pullback After Recent Gains, Heat Wave Props Up Retail Sales, Sluggish Household Spending Continues amid High Costs By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Financial markets have largely priced in a follow-up interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan in September, with only a three-month interval instead of an earlier expectation […]
Japan Week Ahead: Q2 GDP to Show Faster Economic Growth, July Exports Seen Up Sharply, Subsidies Offsetting Upward Pressures in CPI from Mideast Conflict, Weak Yen
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – It is quiet on the policy front in the coming week with no public speeches by Bank of Japan board members scheduled until Aug. 27 when Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino, a former financial industry regulator, speaks to business leaders in Saitama, just north of Tokyo, on the latest economic and […]
Preview: Japan’s Economy Seen Growing for Third Straight Quarter in Q2 on Solid Consumption, Capital Spending
Monday, August 17 0850 JST (2350 GMT/1950 EDT, Sunday, August 16) Cabinet Office releases preliminary GDP for April-June 2026.Mace News median: +0.6% q/q (range +0.4% to +0.7%) vs. Q1 revised +0.5%; +2.3% annualized (range +1.6% to +2.3%) vs. Q1 revised +1.8%; +0.7% y/y (range +0.2% to +1.3%) vs. Q1 revised +0.4% By Chikafumi Hodo TOKYO […]
Japan Week Ahead: Markets Bracing for BOJ Rate Hike at June 15-16 Meeting After Governor Ueda Drops Clear Hint
–Producer Inflation Set to Rise Further to 3-Year High amid Mideast Conflict, Q1 GDP to Be Revised Down Sharply on Weaker-Than-Expected Capex in MOF Data By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Here are the key Japanese events for the coming week. Since taking office in April 2023, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda has provided some […]
Japan Week Ahead: Q1 GDP to Show Modest Growth, March Trade Balance Set to Slip Back into Deficit, Consumer Inflation Tame
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Here are the key Japanese events for the coming week. The first quarter GDP data is expected to show the economy has overcome a temporary contraction in the July-September quarter last year, led by sluggish but resilient consumer spending and solid business investment in digitization. The weak yen and higher […]
Forecast: Japan Q1 GDP Seen Extending Growth Streak as Public Investment, Exports Support Economy
By Chikafumi Hodo TOKYO (MaceNews) – Japan’s real gross domestic product is projected to post a second consecutive quarter of growth in January-March, supported by firmer exports despite ongoing U.S. tariffs, while solid public investment, modest gains in private consumption and steady capital expenditure likely also contributed to growth. The economy is expected to expand […]
Preview: Japan’s Revised Q4 GDP Seen Supported by Capex and Domestic Demand, Public Spending to Improve
Tuesday, March 10 0850 JST (2350 GMT/1850 EST Monday, March 9) Cabinet Office releases the revised GDP for October-December 2025.Mace News median: +0.3% q/q (range +0.2% to +0.4%) vs. Q4 prelim +0.1%; +1.3% annualized (range +0.8% to +1.5%) vs. Q4 prelim +0.2%; +0.3% y/y (range +0.2% to +0.4%) vs. Q4 prelim +0.1% By Chikafumi Hodo […]