US ISM Manufacturing PMI Expands for 6th Straight Month in June but at Slower Pace as New Orders, Production Take Breather after Rising in May
–ISM’s Spence: Not Much Stockpiling During Iran War as Seen in Early Days of High US Tariffs Slapped Last Year–Spence: Still Cautious about 2026 Outlook but June, Semiannual Reports Indicate Optimism Among Firms By Max Sato (MaceNews) – U.S. manufacturing activity expanded for the sixth straight month in June but at a slower pace than […]
Japan Government Keeps Gradual Economic Recovery View as Global Energy Prices Have Eased, Consumer Sentiment Has Picked Up from Recent Bottom
–Government Also Warns Mideast Conflict Has Triggered a Spike in Producer, Import Costs By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s government continues to predict that the economy will stay on a gradual recovery track, noting that its fuel subsidies and free high school education are helping ease inflation and hot weather is lifting consumer sentiment, but it also […]
Japan Week Ahead: BOJ June Quarter Tankan Business Survey to Show Mideast Conflict Dented Confidence Slightly, Pushed Up Costs for Many Sectors
–Hot Weather, Rising Stock Markets Seen Lifting Retail Sales in May, Job Creation Continues, Factory Output to Extend Monthly Gain on Export Demand By Max Sato (MaceNews) – The tentative U.S.-Iran peace agreement has led crude oil prices lower to pre-war levels, calming jitters among policymakers and investors, but Japanese households and businesses will still […]
Preview: Forecasters See Japan Tokyo CPI Accelerating in June as Commodity Prices Rise
By Chikafumi Hodo TOKYO (MaceNews) – Tokyo’s consumer price index, a leading indicator of the national inflation trend, is expected to accelerate in June, reflecting higher energy costs and supply concerns surrounding naphtha, other oil products and chemicals amid heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East following the conflict involving the United States and Iran. […]
Update: Japan Week Ahead: Markets Look for Signs of Follow-Up BOJ Move in A Few Months After Milestone Rate Hike in June, Warning about Inflation
–Updates to Show New Date for Monthly Economic Report –June Tokyo CPI Inflation Seen Accelerating on Rising Costs for Plastics, Other Goods amid Mideast Materials Supply Squeeze but Still Below 2% BOJ Target By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Financial markets are expected to be volatile in the coming week after Iran announced on the weekend […]
FOMC Holds Rates Steady; Drops Easing Bias By Ending Forward Guidance
— SEP Shows Fed Officials See Funds Rate Rising To 3.8% By End ‘26; Back to 3.6% end ’27 – -SEP Inflation Forecast Lifted for 2026 From 2.7% to 3.6% — Warsh Didn’t Submit Funds Rate Dot; Half Want Rate Same or Lower; Half Want Rate Hike – -Warsh Committed To 2% Inflation; ‘Compatible’ With […]
BofA Global Research Fund Manager Survey: Global Investors Pare Risk Holdings in June but Stay Positive On World Growth Prospects
By Vicki Schmelzer NEW YORK (MaceNews) – Global fund managers pared risk holdings in June, while at the same time remaining “steadfastly bullish” about world growth prospects, according to the latest BofA Global Fund Managers survey, released Tuesday. This month, a net 1% of those polled looked for weaker economic growth in the coming 12 […]
Preview: Forecasters See Japan Core CPI Inflation Low and Stable in May Report
Consensus outlook for Mace News0830 JST (2330 GMT/1930 EDT Thursday, June 18) The Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications releases May CPI.Mace News median: total CPI +1.5% y/y (range: +1.4% to +1.6%) vs. Apr +1.4%; core CPI (ex-fresh food) +1.4% y/y (range: +1.4% to +1.5%) vs. Apr +1.4%; core-core CPI (ex-fresh food, energy) +1.9% y/y […]
Preview: Forecasters See Japan Machinery Orders Up Again on Year in April as AI Spending Boom Continues
Consensus outlook for Mace News 0850 JST (2350 GMT/1950 EDT Tuesday, June 16) The Cabinet Office releases April machinery orders.Mace News median: core orders -0.3% m/m (range: -2.0% to +6.5%) vs. Mar -9.4%; +9.9% y/y (range: +8.5% to +17.4%) vs. Mar +5.9% By Chikafumi Hodo TOKYO (MaceNews) – Japan’s core machinery orders, a key leading […]
Preview: Forecasters See Strong Japanese Exports, Imports, Return to Trade Deficit in May
0850 JST (2350 GMT/1950 EDT Tuesday, June 16) The Ministry of Finance releases May trade.Mace News median: exports +14.8% y/y (range: +10.7% to +19.0%) vs. +14.8% in April; imports +12.5% y/y (range: +9.9% to +16.6%) vs. revised +9.8% in April from 9.7%; trade deficit ¥559.60 billion (range: a deficit of ¥660.00 billion to a deficit […]