Preview: Forecasters See Japan Household Spending -0.8% Y/Y, +2.6% M/M in February

Consensus outlook for Mace News Tuesday, April 7, 20260830 JST (2350 GMT/1930 EDT Monday, April 6) The Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications releases the February average household spending.Mace News median forecasts: -0.8% y/y (range:-2.9% to +0.5%) vs. Jan -1.0%; +2.3% m/m (range: -0.9% to +3.9%) vs. Jan -2.5% By Chikafumi Hodo TOKYO (MaceNews) – […]

US ISM Manufacturing PMI in Expansion for 3rd Straight Month but Mideast War Compounds Uncertainty Already Heightened by New Trump Tariffs

–ISM’s Spence: New Orders Creeping Back Down Toward Neutral, Widespread Price Hikes ‘Very Concerning’ By Max Sato (MaceNews) – U.S. manufacturing activity expanded for the third straight month in March, emerging from the tariff-triggered doldrums of 2025, but the outlook has been clouded further by the lingering Mideast conflict, prompting firms to shelve investment and […]

Powell: Fed ‘In Good Place To Wait And See’ How Iran War Affects U.S. Economy

– War Exerts “Upside Risks’ On Inflation, ‘Downside Risks’ On Employment – Must Be ‘Mindful’ To Keep Inflation Expectations ‘Anchored’ By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell gave no indication Monday of when or how the Fed might adjust short-term interest rates, saying monetary policy is “in a good place to […]

Preview: Japan February Factory Output Forecast to Slip Back After Hitting 31-Month High in January, Retail Sales Seen Sluggish on Falling Fuel Prices

By Chikafumi Hodo Tuesday, March 310850 JST (2350 GMT/1950 EDT Monday, March 30) The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry releases preliminary February industrial production, the outlook for March, April.Mace News median: -2.0% m/m (range: -3.5% to -0.5%) vs. Jan revised to +4.3% from +2.2%; +0.4% y/y (range: -1.2% to +1.9%) vs. Jan revised to +0.7% from […]

Preview: Japan’s March Tokyo CPI Forecast to Show Tame Core and Overall Inflation Below BOJ’s 2% Target on Energy Subsidies, Easing Food Markups

By Chikafumi Hodo Tuesday, March 310830 JST (2330 GMT/1930 EDT Monday, March 30) The Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications releases March, fiscal 2025 average Tokyo CPI.Mace News median: total CPI +1.6% y/y (range: +1.4% to +1.6%) vs. Feb +1.6%; core CPI (ex-fresh food) +1.8% (range: +1.6% to +1.9%) vs. Feb +1.8%; core-core CPI (ex-fresh food, energy) […]

Fed Vice Chair Jefferson, Others Call For Stand Pat Rate Stance Amid War Worries

By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Just over a week after the Federal Reserve’s policymaking Federal Open Market Committee left short-term interest rates unchanged, majority thinking on the course of monetary policy is little changed, judging from Fed policymakers’ recent comments. Fed Vice Chairman Phillip Jefferson and other members of the Fed Board of Governors […]