Japan Week Ahead: Resilient Economy Faces Inflationary Pressures, Structural Fragility as Mideast Conflict Rages on, Weak Yen Keeps Imports Expensive
–June Exports Forecast to Post 10th Straight Y/Y Rise, CPI Seen Up Slightly but Still Below BOJ’s 2% Inflation Target By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Japan’s economy has shown resilience in the face of protectionist U.S. trade policy and the lingering Mideast conflict. Exports have weathered the drag from stiff Trump tariffs on autos and […]
Japan Week Ahead: Markets Continue to Expect BOJ Rate Hike Toward Yearend after Tankan Business Survey, Branch Managers Report Points to Resilient Economy amid Mideast Uncertainty
–May Machinery Orders Set for Pullback after April Surge but Strong Demand for Computers, AI-Linked Equipment Seen Intact By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Bank of Japan policymakers have received evidence this month that the domestic economy has been resilient, overcoming high fuel costs and material shortages triggered by the Middle East conflict amid the global […]
US ISM Manufacturing PMI Expands for 6th Straight Month in June but at Slower Pace as New Orders, Production Take Breather after Rising in May
–ISM’s Spence: Not Much Stockpiling During Iran War as Seen in Early Days of High US Tariffs Slapped Last Year–Spence: Still Cautious about 2026 Outlook but June, Semiannual Reports Indicate Optimism Among Firms By Max Sato (MaceNews) – U.S. manufacturing activity expanded for the sixth straight month in June but at a slower pace than […]
Japan Week Ahead: BOJ June Quarter Tankan Business Survey to Show Mideast Conflict Dented Confidence Slightly, Pushed Up Costs for Many Sectors
–Hot Weather, Rising Stock Markets Seen Lifting Retail Sales in May, Job Creation Continues, Factory Output to Extend Monthly Gain on Export Demand By Max Sato (MaceNews) – The tentative U.S.-Iran peace agreement has led crude oil prices lower to pre-war levels, calming jitters among policymakers and investors, but Japanese households and businesses will still […]
Preview: Forecasters See Japan Tokyo CPI Accelerating in June as Commodity Prices Rise
By Chikafumi Hodo TOKYO (MaceNews) – Tokyo’s consumer price index, a leading indicator of the national inflation trend, is expected to accelerate in June, reflecting higher energy costs and supply concerns surrounding naphtha, other oil products and chemicals amid heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East following the conflict involving the United States and Iran. […]
Update: Japan Week Ahead: Markets Look for Signs of Follow-Up BOJ Move in A Few Months After Milestone Rate Hike in June, Warning about Inflation
–Updates to Show New Date for Monthly Economic Report –June Tokyo CPI Inflation Seen Accelerating on Rising Costs for Plastics, Other Goods amid Mideast Materials Supply Squeeze but Still Below 2% BOJ Target By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Financial markets are expected to be volatile in the coming week after Iran announced on the weekend […]
FOMC Holds Rates Steady; Drops Easing Bias By Ending Forward Guidance
— SEP Shows Fed Officials See Funds Rate Rising To 3.8% By End ‘26; Back to 3.6% end ’27 – -SEP Inflation Forecast Lifted for 2026 From 2.7% to 3.6% — Warsh Didn’t Submit Funds Rate Dot; Half Want Rate Same or Lower; Half Want Rate Hike – -Warsh Committed To 2% Inflation; ‘Compatible’ With […]
ABBREVIATED FOMC STATEMENT CONTAINS NO FORWARD GUIDANCE
WASHINGTON (MaceNews) – The drastically abbreviated Federal Open Market policy statement follows, containing no forward guidance, no dissents, no rate change and which drops easing bias, as expected: The Federal Open Market Committee approved the following statement for release by a 12 – 0 vote: The Committee decided to maintain the target range for the […]
BofA Global Research Fund Manager Survey: Global Investors Pare Risk Holdings in June but Stay Positive On World Growth Prospects
By Vicki Schmelzer NEW YORK (MaceNews) – Global fund managers pared risk holdings in June, while at the same time remaining “steadfastly bullish” about world growth prospects, according to the latest BofA Global Fund Managers survey, released Tuesday. This month, a net 1% of those polled looked for weaker economic growth in the coming 12 […]
Preview: Forecasters See Japan Machinery Orders Up Again on Year in April as AI Spending Boom Continues
Consensus outlook for Mace News 0850 JST (2350 GMT/1950 EDT Tuesday, June 16) The Cabinet Office releases April machinery orders.Mace News median: core orders -0.3% m/m (range: -2.0% to +6.5%) vs. Mar -9.4%; +9.9% y/y (range: +8.5% to +17.4%) vs. Mar +5.9% By Chikafumi Hodo TOKYO (MaceNews) – Japan’s core machinery orders, a key leading […]