Preview: Japan February Factory Output Forecast to Slip Back After Hitting 31-Month High in January, Retail Sales Seen Sluggish on Falling Fuel Prices
By Chikafumi Hodo Tuesday, March 310850 JST (2350 GMT/1950 EDT Monday, March 30) The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry releases preliminary February industrial production, the outlook for March, April.Mace News median: -2.0% m/m (range: -3.5% to -0.5%) vs. Jan revised to +4.3% from +2.2%; +0.4% y/y (range: -1.2% to +1.9%) vs. Jan revised to +0.7% from […]
Preview: Japan’s March Tokyo CPI Forecast to Show Tame Core and Overall Inflation Below BOJ’s 2% Target on Energy Subsidies, Easing Food Markups
By Chikafumi Hodo Tuesday, March 310830 JST (2330 GMT/1930 EDT Monday, March 30) The Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications releases March, fiscal 2025 average Tokyo CPI.Mace News median: total CPI +1.6% y/y (range: +1.4% to +1.6%) vs. Feb +1.6%; core CPI (ex-fresh food) +1.8% (range: +1.6% to +1.9%) vs. Feb +1.8%; core-core CPI (ex-fresh food, energy) […]
Fed Vice Chair Jefferson, Others Call For Stand Pat Rate Stance Amid War Worries
By Steven K. Beckner (MaceNews) – Just over a week after the Federal Reserve’s policymaking Federal Open Market Committee left short-term interest rates unchanged, majority thinking on the course of monetary policy is little changed, judging from Fed policymakers’ recent comments. Fed Vice Chairman Phillip Jefferson and other members of the Fed Board of Governors […]
Japan Week Ahead: PM Takaichi Back to Inflation Fighting after Performing in Trump Diplomatic Theater; February Core CPI Seen Drifting Below BOJ’s 2%, Calm Before Iran War Storm
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Here are the key Japanese events for the coming week. Following last week’s majority decision by the Bank of Japan’s board to pause in its gradual rate hike process, CPI data for February is forecast to show core inflation moderated to an annual rate below the bank’s 2% target as […]
BofA Global Research Fund Manager Survey: Bulls Turn into Bears In March As World Growth Outlook Sours and Inflation Expectations Rise.
–Cash Levels ‘Jump Sharply’ In March –Geopolitical Conflict Top Tail Risk by Vicki Schmelzer NEW YORK (MaceNews) – Global fund managers turned from bullish to bearish in March, with shifting sentiment driven by a souring world growth outlook and rising inflation expectations, according to the latest Bof Global Fund Managers survey, released Tuesday. Accordingly, cash […]
Japan Week Ahead: National Wealth Eroded by High Import Costs, Exports Weathering Trump Tariffs Thanks to Demand from Europe, Asia
–Bank of Japan in No Hurry to Raise Interest Rates to Counter Any Reversal in Easing Inflation amid Mideast War By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Here are the key Japanese events for the coming week. Parliamentary debate on the fiscal 2026 budget continues at the key lower house budget committee. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is […]
Preview: Japan’s Revised Q4 GDP Seen Supported by Capex and Domestic Demand, Public Spending to Improve
Tuesday, March 10 0850 JST (2350 GMT/1850 EST Monday, March 9) Cabinet Office releases the revised GDP for October-December 2025.Mace News median: +0.3% q/q (range +0.2% to +0.4%) vs. Q4 prelim +0.1%; +1.3% annualized (range +0.8% to +1.5%) vs. Q4 prelim +0.2%; +0.3% y/y (range +0.2% to +0.4%) vs. Q4 prelim +0.1% By Chikafumi Hodo […]
US ISM Services Sector Heats Up in February, Takes PMI to More Than 3-Year High as Firms Meeting Demand by Controlling Tariff-Induced Cost Rise
By Max Sato (MaceNews) – The U.S. services sector revved up sharply in February to extend its expansionary phase into a 20th month as firms have managed to absorb higher costs triggered by stiff import duties imposed under the protectionist U.S. trade policy, indicating a resilient labor market and solid economic growth in the first […]
US ISM Manufacturing PMI Stays in Expansionary State in February but Many Firms Complain US Tariffs Boosting Procurement Costs
–ISM’s Spence: Wouldn’t Be Surprised If Price Pressure Continued in Light of Heightened Tensions in Middle East By Max Sato (MaceNews) – U.S. manufacturing activity stayed in expansionary territory in February after springing back to life from a year-long slumber the previous month but firms are blaming the protectionist trade policy under President Donald Trump […]
Japan Week Ahead: PM Takaichi Faces Biggest Challenge in Office as Nation Braces for Major Crude Oil Supply Disruption, Return of Higher Energy Costs
–Japan Expected to Tide Over Impact of Temporary Iranian Blockade of Strait of Hormuz Despite Its Heavy Reliance on Middel East Oil, Gas By Max Sato (MaceNews) – Here are the key Japanese events for the coming week. Just as parliamentary debate on the fiscal 2026 budget has shifted to the key budget committee of […]